Fred CornellIndependent polling averages

United States · Latest polls

Latest US polls

Updated 13 Nov 2026

Presidential approval

40 poll releases listed · newest 11 Nov 2026 · 95 in the feed

Economist/YouGov11 NovApprove 36.0Disapprove 61.0Net −25.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Economist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
9–11 Nov
Sample
Registered voters · 1,463
Answers
Approve 36.0, Disapprove 61.0
Net
Net −25.0
Economist/YouGov11 NovApprove 32.0Disapprove 63.0Net −31.0
Pollster
Economist/YouGov
Fieldwork
9–11 Nov
Sample
Adults · 1,685
Answers
Approve 32.0, Disapprove 63.0
Net
Net −31.0
Reuters/Ipsos9 NovApprove 36.0Disapprove 63.0Net −27.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Reuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
6–9 Nov
Sample
Registered voters · 1,352
Answers
Approve 36.0, Disapprove 63.0
Net
Net −27.0
Reuters/Ipsos9 NovApprove 32.0Disapprove 65.0Net −33.0
Pollster
Reuters/Ipsos
Fieldwork
6–9 Nov
Sample
Adults · 1,705
Answers
Approve 32.0, Disapprove 65.0
Net
Net −33.0
Navigator Research8 NovApprove 37.0Disapprove 63.0Net −26.0
Pollster
Navigator Research
Fieldwork
28 Oct–8 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 3,000
Answers
Approve 37.0, Disapprove 63.0
Net
Net −26.0
Economist/YouGov6 NovApprove 36.0Disapprove 62.0Net −26.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Economist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
4–6 Nov
Sample
Registered voters · 3,166
Answers
Approve 36.0, Disapprove 62.0
Net
Net −26.0
John Zogby Strategies2 NovApprove 43.0Disapprove 55.0Net −12.0
Pollster
John Zogby Strategies
Fieldwork
1–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,001
Answers
Approve 43.0, Disapprove 55.0
Net
Net −12.0
Reuters/Ipsos2 NovApprove 36.0Disapprove 63.0Net −27.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Reuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
29 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Registered voters · 1,357
Answers
Approve 36.0, Disapprove 63.0
Net
Net −27.0
Reuters/Ipsos2 NovApprove 32.0Disapprove 64.0Net −32.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Reuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
29 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Adults · 1,765
Answers
Approve 32.0, Disapprove 64.0
Net
Net −32.0
Morning Consult1 NovApprove 41.4Disapprove 56.7Net −15.3
Pollster
Morning Consult
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Registered voters · 2,203
Answers
Approve 41.4, Disapprove 56.7
Net
Net −15.3
Focaldata1 NovApprove 32.7Disapprove 61.4Net −28.7

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
FocaldataNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Adults · 2,444
Answers
Approve 32.7, Disapprove 61.4
Net
Net −28.7
Focaldata1 NovApprove 33.6Disapprove 61.7Net −28.1
Pollster
Focaldata
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Registered voters · 2,163
Answers
Approve 33.6, Disapprove 61.7
Net
Net −28.1
Atlas Intel1 NovApprove 40.3Disapprove 58.6Net −18.3

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Atlas IntelNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Adults · 3,566
Answers
Approve 40.3, Disapprove 58.6
Net
Net −18.3
Atlas Intel1 NovApprove 40.3Disapprove 58.6Net −18.3
Pollster
Atlas Intel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 3,566
Answers
Approve 40.3, Disapprove 58.6
Net
Net −18.3
ActiVote31 OctApprove 36.2Disapprove 58.0Net −21.8
Pollster
ActiVote
Fieldwork
1–31 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 941
Answers
Approve 36.2, Disapprove 58.0
Net
Net −21.8
NBC News/Hart Research30 OctApprove 40.0Disapprove 60.0Net −20.0
Pollster
NBC News/Hart Research
Fieldwork
28–30 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,000
Answers
Approve 40.0, Disapprove 60.0
Net
Net −20.0
Big Data Poll30 OctApprove 40.2Disapprove 58.6Net −18.4

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Big Data PollNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 3,214
Answers
Approve 40.2, Disapprove 58.6
Net
Net −18.4
Big Data Poll30 OctApprove 39.3Disapprove 59.1Net −19.8
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 3,418
Answers
Approve 39.3, Disapprove 59.1
Net
Net −19.8
TIPP Insights30 OctApprove 41.0Disapprove 51.0Net −10.0
Pollster
TIPP Insights
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,480
Answers
Approve 41.0, Disapprove 51.0
Net
Net −10.0
YouGov30 OctApprove 38.0Disapprove 60.0Net −22.0
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 3,910
Answers
Approve 38.0, Disapprove 60.0
Net
Net −22.0
RMG Research27 OctApprove 43.0Disapprove 55.0Net −12.0
Pollster
RMG Research
Fieldwork
19–27 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,000
Answers
Approve 43.0, Disapprove 55.0
Net
Net −12.0
Harvard-Harris26 OctApprove 39.0Disapprove 59.0Net −20.0
Pollster
Harvard-Harris
Fieldwork
24–26 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,700
Answers
Approve 39.0, Disapprove 59.0
Net
Net −20.0
Emerson College26 OctApprove 37.2Disapprove 57.1Net −19.9
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
24–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Answers
Approve 37.2, Disapprove 57.1
Net
Net −19.9
Economist/YouGov26 OctApprove 40.0Disapprove 58.0Net −18.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Economist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
23–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,272
Answers
Approve 40.0, Disapprove 58.0
Net
Net −18.0
Economist/YouGov26 OctApprove 39.0Disapprove 58.0Net −19.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Economist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
23–26 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,440
Answers
Approve 39.0, Disapprove 58.0
Net
Net −19.0
Reuters/Ipsos26 OctApprove 32.0Disapprove 66.0Net −34.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Reuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
22–26 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,679
Answers
Approve 32.0, Disapprove 66.0
Net
Net −34.0
Morning Consult25 OctApprove 40.5Disapprove 57.4Net −17.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Morning ConsultNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
23–25 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,204
Answers
Approve 40.5, Disapprove 57.4
Net
Net −17.0
Leger25 OctApprove 33.0Disapprove 58.0Net −25.0
Pollster
Leger
Fieldwork
23–25 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,037
Answers
Approve 33.0, Disapprove 58.0
Net
Net −25.0
CBS News/YouGov23 OctApprove 39.0Disapprove 61.0Net −22.0
Pollster
CBS News/YouGov
Fieldwork
21–23 Oct
Sample
Adults · 2,345
Answers
Approve 39.0, Disapprove 61.0
Net
Net −22.0
The Argument/Verasight23 OctApprove 37.0Disapprove 61.0Net −24.0
Pollster
The Argument/Verasight
Fieldwork
21–23 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,549
Answers
Approve 37.0, Disapprove 61.0
Net
Net −24.0
Echelon Insights23 OctApprove 40.0Disapprove 59.0Net −19.0
Pollster
Echelon Insights
Fieldwork
16–23 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 2,907
Answers
Approve 40.0, Disapprove 59.0
Net
Net −19.0
Economist/YouGov20 OctApprove 40.0Disapprove 59.0Net −19.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Economist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,501
Answers
Approve 40.0, Disapprove 59.0
Net
Net −19.0
Marist College20 OctApprove 40.0Disapprove 59.0Net −19.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Marist CollegeNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,289
Answers
Approve 40.0, Disapprove 59.0
Net
Net −19.0
Marist College20 OctApprove 38.0Disapprove 61.0Net −23.0
Pollster
Marist College
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,289
Answers
Approve 38.0, Disapprove 61.0
Net
Net −23.0
American Research Group20 OctApprove 29.0Disapprove 67.0Net −38.0
Pollster
American Research Group
Fieldwork
16–20 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,100
Answers
Approve 29.0, Disapprove 67.0
Net
Net −38.0
Focaldata20 OctApprove 35.5Disapprove 58.9Net −23.4

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
FocaldataNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
16–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,648
Answers
Approve 35.5, Disapprove 58.9
Net
Net −23.4
YouGov20 OctApprove 35.0Disapprove 65.0Net −30.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
15–20 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,500
Answers
Approve 35.0, Disapprove 65.0
Net
Net −30.0
Morning Consult20 OctApprove 41.0Disapprove 56.0Net −15.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Morning ConsultNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
13–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,050
Answers
Approve 41.0, Disapprove 56.0
Net
Net −15.0
RMG Research20 OctApprove 42.0Disapprove 57.0Net −15.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
RMG ResearchNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
12–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,000
Answers
Approve 42.0, Disapprove 57.0
Net
Net −15.0
Reuters/Ipsos19 OctApprove 34.0Disapprove 65.0Net −31.0

Not in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release

Pollster
Reuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer release
Fieldwork
16–19 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,279
Answers
Approve 34.0, Disapprove 65.0
Net
Net −31.0
FieldworkPollsterPopulation and sampleAnswersNetSource
9–11 NovEconomist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,463Approve 36.0Disapprove 61.0Net −25.0—
9–11 NovEconomist/YouGovAdults1,685Approve 32.0Disapprove 63.0Net −31.0—
6–9 NovReuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,352Approve 36.0Disapprove 63.0Net −27.0—
6–9 NovReuters/IpsosAdults1,705Approve 32.0Disapprove 65.0Net −33.0—
28 Oct–8 NovNavigator ResearchLikely voters3,000Approve 37.0Disapprove 63.0Net −26.0—
4–6 NovEconomist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters3,166Approve 36.0Disapprove 62.0Net −26.0—
1–2 NovJohn Zogby StrategiesLikely voters1,001Approve 43.0Disapprove 55.0Net −12.0—
29 Oct–2 NovReuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,357Approve 36.0Disapprove 63.0Net −27.0—
29 Oct–2 NovReuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseAdults1,765Approve 32.0Disapprove 64.0Net −32.0—
30 Oct–1 NovMorning ConsultRegistered voters2,203Approve 41.4Disapprove 56.7Net −15.3—
30 Oct–1 NovFocaldataNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseAdults2,444Approve 32.7Disapprove 61.4Net −28.7—
30 Oct–1 NovFocaldataRegistered voters2,163Approve 33.6Disapprove 61.7Net −28.1—
28 Oct–1 NovAtlas IntelNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseAdults3,566Approve 40.3Disapprove 58.6Net −18.3—
28 Oct–1 NovAtlas IntelLikely voters3,566Approve 40.3Disapprove 58.6Net −18.3—
1–31 OctActiVoteRegistered voters941Approve 36.2Disapprove 58.0Net −21.8—
28–30 OctNBC News/Hart ResearchRegistered voters1,000Approve 40.0Disapprove 60.0Net −20.0—
27–30 OctBig Data PollNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseLikely voters3,214Approve 40.2Disapprove 58.6Net −18.4—
27–30 OctBig Data PollRegistered voters3,418Approve 39.3Disapprove 59.1Net −19.8—
27–30 OctTIPP InsightsAdults1,480Approve 41.0Disapprove 51.0Net −10.0—
27–30 OctYouGovLikely voters3,910Approve 38.0Disapprove 60.0Net −22.0—
19–27 OctRMG ResearchRegistered voters2,000Approve 43.0Disapprove 55.0Net −12.0—
24–26 OctHarvard-HarrisRegistered voters2,700Approve 39.0Disapprove 59.0Net −20.0—
24–26 OctEmerson CollegeLikely voters1,000Approve 37.2Disapprove 57.1Net −19.9—
23–26 OctEconomist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseLikely voters1,272Approve 40.0Disapprove 58.0Net −18.0—
23–26 OctEconomist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,440Approve 39.0Disapprove 58.0Net −19.0—
22–26 OctReuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseAdults1,679Approve 32.0Disapprove 66.0Net −34.0—
23–25 OctMorning ConsultNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters2,204Approve 40.5Disapprove 57.4Net −17.0—
23–25 OctLegerAdults1,037Approve 33.0Disapprove 58.0Net −25.0—
21–23 OctCBS News/YouGovAdults2,345Approve 39.0Disapprove 61.0Net −22.0—
21–23 OctThe Argument/VerasightRegistered voters1,549Approve 37.0Disapprove 61.0Net −24.0—
16–23 OctEchelon InsightsLikely voters2,907Approve 40.0Disapprove 59.0Net −19.0—
19–20 OctEconomist/YouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,501Approve 40.0Disapprove 59.0Net −19.0—
19–20 OctMarist CollegeNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseLikely voters1,289Approve 40.0Disapprove 59.0Net −19.0—
19–20 OctMarist CollegeRegistered voters1,289Approve 38.0Disapprove 61.0Net −23.0—
16–20 OctAmerican Research GroupAdults1,100Approve 29.0Disapprove 67.0Net −38.0—
16–20 OctFocaldataNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,648Approve 35.5Disapprove 58.9Net −23.4—
15–20 OctYouGovNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseAdults1,500Approve 35.0Disapprove 65.0Net −30.0—
13–20 OctMorning ConsultNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters2,050Approve 41.0Disapprove 56.0Net −15.0—
12–20 OctRMG ResearchNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters2,000Approve 42.0Disapprove 57.0Net −15.0—
16–19 OctReuters/IpsosNot in the average: superseded by the pollster's newer releaseRegistered voters1,279Approve 34.0Disapprove 65.0Net −31.0—

Polls of Trump's job approval. Polls our average does not count are shown in grey and say why. Source: the approval tracker's own poll list, which draws on the New York Times file of approval polls (see the approval methodology). The approval average was last run on 13 November 2026.

2028 state primaries

35 poll questions listed · newest 30 Oct 2026

Florida, Republican primary30 Oct · Big Data PollVance 30.6DeSantis 25.6+9
State and party
Florida, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
26–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
JD Vance 30.6, Ron DeSantis 25.6, Marco Rubio 25.2, Robert F. Kennedy 4.5, Ted Cruz 2.7, Nikki Haley 2.1, Tulsi Gabbard 1.7, Brian Kemp 1.3, Rand Paul 0.8, Glenn Youngkin 0.8, Steve Bannon 0.5, Don't know 4, Someone else 0.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire, Republican primary20 Oct · St. AnselmRubio 38Vance 38+4
State and party
New Hampshire, Republican primary
Pollster
St. Anselm
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 734
Line-up
Marco Rubio 38, JD Vance 38, Ron DeSantis 5, Robert F. Kennedy 4, Ted Cruz 1, Glenn Youngkin 1, Don't know 11, Someone else 2
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire, Democratic primary20 Oct · St. AnselmButtigieg 28Ossoff 14+13
State and party
New Hampshire, Democratic primary
Pollster
St. Anselm
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 784
Line-up
Pete Buttigieg 28, Jon Ossoff 14, Mark Kelly 11, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10, Gavin Newsom 8, Kamala Harris 5, JB Pritzker 3, Josh Shapiro 2, Andy Beshear 2, Ro Khanna 2, Wes Moore 1, Cory Booker 1, Rahm Emanuel 1, Chris Murphy 0, Gretchen Whitmer 0, Don't know 9, Someone else 1
Source
Pollster’s release →
California, Democratic primary20 Oct · McLaughlin & AssociatesOcasio-Cortez 18Buttigieg 17+11
State and party
California, Democratic primary
Pollster
McLaughlin & Associates
Fieldwork
17–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 419
Line-up
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18, Pete Buttigieg 17, Gavin Newsom 14, Mark Kelly 10, Kamala Harris 7, JB Pritzker 3, Josh Shapiro 3, Cory Booker 2, Gretchen Whitmer 1, Rahm Emanuel 1, Stephen A. Smith 0, Jared Polis 0, Wes Moore 0, Don't know 23
Source
Pollster’s release →
Minnesota, Republican primary30 Sep · Big Data PollVance 40Rubio 22.5+10
State and party
Minnesota, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
29–30 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 249
Line-up
JD Vance 40, Marco Rubio 22.5, Ron DeSantis 8.3, Nikki Haley 4.5, Robert F. Kennedy 4.5, Tucker Carlson 3.7, Rand Paul 2.6, Ted Cruz 2.5, Glenn Youngkin 2.1, Tulsi Gabbard 1, Brian Kemp 0.8, Steve Bannon 0.2, Don't know 6.4, Someone else 1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Minnesota, Democratic primary30 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 24.3Ocasio-Cortez 15.3+8
State and party
Minnesota, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
29–30 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 297
Line-up
Kamala Harris 24.3, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15.3, Pete Buttigieg 12.3, Gavin Newsom 10.5, Mark Kelly 7.2, Jon Ossoff 6.3, Josh Shapiro 5.3, Andy Beshear 3.1, Stephen A. Smith 1.4, Gretchen Whitmer 0.3, Don't know 11.9, Someone else 2.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina, Republican primary29 Sep · Big Data PollVance 40.2Rubio 18.2+10
State and party
North Carolina, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
27–29 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 331
Line-up
JD Vance 40.2, Marco Rubio 18.2, Robert F. Kennedy 9.5, Ron DeSantis 9.2, Nikki Haley 5.2, Ted Cruz 4.2, Rand Paul 3.4, Tucker Carlson 1.1, Tulsi Gabbard 0.6, Glenn Youngkin 0.5, Brian Kemp 0.3, Steve Bannon 0.3, Don't know 5.5, Someone else 1.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina, Democratic primary29 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 30.7Buttigieg 14.8+8
State and party
North Carolina, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
27–29 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 297
Line-up
Kamala Harris 30.7, Pete Buttigieg 14.8, Gavin Newsom 13.6, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.7, Josh Shapiro 7.5, Mark Kelly 5.4, Jon Ossoff 3.3, Gretchen Whitmer 2.8, Andy Beshear 2, Stephen A. Smith 0.9, Don't know 8.4, Someone else 2.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina, Democratic primary29 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 31.3Buttigieg 14.5+8
State and party
North Carolina, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
27–29 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 281
Line-up
Kamala Harris 31.3, Pete Buttigieg 14.5, Gavin Newsom 14.1, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8, Josh Shapiro 7.9, Mark Kelly 5.4, Jon Ossoff 3, Gretchen Whitmer 2.9, Andy Beshear 2, Stephen A. Smith 0.9, Don't know 7.8, Someone else 2.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina, Republican primary29 Sep · Big Data PollVance 39.2Rubio 18.3+9
State and party
North Carolina, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
27–29 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 355
Line-up
JD Vance 39.2, Marco Rubio 18.3, Ron DeSantis 9.9, Nikki Haley 5, Ted Cruz 4, Rand Paul 3.5, Tucker Carlson 1, Tulsi Gabbard 0.6, Glenn Youngkin 0.5, Brian Kemp 0.3, Steve Bannon 0.3, Robert F. Kennedy 8.8, Don't know 7, Someone else 1.7
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio, Republican primary27 Sep · Big Data PollVance 40.7Rubio 14.4+10
State and party
Ohio, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
26–27 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 340
Line-up
JD Vance 40.7, Marco Rubio 14.4, Tulsi Gabbard 10.6, Robert F. Kennedy 7.1, Steve Bannon 6.3, Nikki Haley 6.2, Ron DeSantis 6.1, Ted Cruz 2.4, Tucker Carlson 1.7, Rand Paul 1.6, Glenn Youngkin 1.2, Brian Kemp 0.1, Someone else 1.4, Don't know 0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio, Republican primary27 Sep · Big Data PollVance 40Rubio 14.2+10
State and party
Ohio, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
26–27 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 349
Line-up
JD Vance 40, Marco Rubio 14.2, Tulsi Gabbard 11.4, Robert F. Kennedy 7, Steve Bannon 6.3, Nikki Haley 6.2, Ron DeSantis 6, Ted Cruz 2.4, Rand Paul 2.4, Tucker Carlson 1.7, Glenn Youngkin 1.2, Brian Kemp 0.1, Someone else 1.4, Don't know 0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio, Democratic primary27 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 22.6Newsom 15.6+8
State and party
Ohio, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
26–27 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 316
Line-up
Kamala Harris 22.6, Gavin Newsom 15.6, Pete Buttigieg 12.1, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.8, Josh Shapiro 7.6, Andy Beshear 5, Jon Ossoff 4.3, Gretchen Whitmer 3.1, Mark Kelly 2.8, Stephen A. Smith 1, Don't know 12.9, Someone else 3.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio, Democratic primary27 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 21.9Newsom 16.2+8
State and party
Ohio, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
26–27 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 302
Line-up
Kamala Harris 21.9, Gavin Newsom 16.2, Pete Buttigieg 12.7, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.1, Josh Shapiro 7.9, Andy Beshear 5.3, Jon Ossoff 4.5, Gretchen Whitmer 3.3, Mark Kelly 3, Stephen A. Smith 1.1, Don't know 11.5, Someone else 2.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas, Democratic primary26 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 31.8Newsom 16+8
State and party
Texas, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
24–26 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 315
Line-up
Kamala Harris 31.8, Gavin Newsom 16, Pete Buttigieg 9.2, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.2, Jon Ossoff 4, Mark Kelly 3.8, Josh Shapiro 3.4, Andy Beshear 3, Stephen A. Smith 2.8, Gretchen Whitmer 2.2, Don't know 11.4, Someone else 3.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas, Republican primary26 Sep · Big Data PollVance 39Rubio 15.2+10
State and party
Texas, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
24–26 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 402
Line-up
JD Vance 39, Marco Rubio 15.2, Ted Cruz 7.3, Robert F. Kennedy 6.3, Ron DeSantis 5.3, Tulsi Gabbard 3, Rand Paul 2.8, Glenn Youngkin 2.1, Brian Kemp 2.1, Nikki Haley 1.8, Steve Bannon 1.8, Tucker Carlson 1, Don't know 10, Someone else 2.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas, Democratic primary26 Sep · Big Data PollHarris 30.9Newsom 16.5+8
State and party
Texas, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
24–26 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 284
Line-up
Kamala Harris 30.9, Gavin Newsom 16.5, Pete Buttigieg 10.1, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.8, Jon Ossoff 4.4, Mark Kelly 3.9, Josh Shapiro 3.8, Andy Beshear 3.3, Stephen A. Smith 3.1, Gretchen Whitmer 2.3, Don't know 9.3, Someone else 2.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas, Republican primary26 Sep · Big Data PollVance 40.6Rubio 16+10
State and party
Texas, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
24–26 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 376
Line-up
JD Vance 40.6, Marco Rubio 16, Robert F. Kennedy 6.7, Ted Cruz 6.5, Ron DeSantis 4.8, Tulsi Gabbard 3.2, Rand Paul 2.3, Glenn Youngkin 2.1, Nikki Haley 1.9, Steve Bannon 1.9, Brian Kemp 1.8, Tucker Carlson 1.1, Don't know 9.5, Someone else 1.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
Georgia, Democratic primary23 Sep · Big Data PollOssoff 29.6Harris 24+8
State and party
Georgia, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
21–23 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 313
Line-up
Jon Ossoff 29.6, Kamala Harris 24, Gavin Newsom 12.9, Pete Buttigieg 7.1, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6, Mark Kelly 5.5, Josh Shapiro 3.5, Andy Beshear 3.3, Gretchen Whitmer 1.1, Stephen A. Smith 0.8, Don't know 4.2, Someone else 2
Source
Pollster’s release →
Georgia, Republican primary23 Sep · Big Data PollVance 37.3Rubio 15.1+10
State and party
Georgia, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
21–23 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 338
Line-up
JD Vance 37.3, Marco Rubio 15.1, Brian Kemp 14.4, Ron DeSantis 12.8, Robert F. Kennedy 4.2, Nikki Haley 2.7, Ted Cruz 2.6, Tucker Carlson 1.4, Steve Bannon 1.3, Glenn Youngkin 1.3, Tulsi Gabbard 0.4, Rand Paul 0.1, Don't know 6.3, Someone else 0.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Georgia, Democratic primary23 Sep · Big Data PollOssoff 29.7Harris 24.1+8
State and party
Georgia, Democratic primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
21–23 Sep
Sample
Registered voters · 320
Line-up
Jon Ossoff 29.7, Kamala Harris 24.1, Gavin Newsom 12.8, Pete Buttigieg 7, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9, Mark Kelly 5.4, Josh Shapiro 3.5, Andy Beshear 3.3, Gretchen Whitmer 1.1, Stephen A. Smith 0.8, Don't know 4.6, Someone else 2
Source
Pollster’s release →
Georgia, Republican primary23 Sep · Big Data PollVance 37.5Rubio 15.6+10
State and party
Georgia, Republican primary
Pollster
Big Data Poll
Fieldwork
21–23 Sep
Sample
Likely voters · 328
Line-up
JD Vance 37.5, Marco Rubio 15.6, Brian Kemp 14.7, Ron DeSantis 12.9, Robert F. Kennedy 3.8, Nikki Haley 2.7, Ted Cruz 2.5, Tucker Carlson 1.4, Steve Bannon 1.3, Glenn Youngkin 1.3, Tulsi Gabbard 0.3, Rand Paul 0.2, Don't know 5.5, Someone else 0.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas, Republican primary26 Aug · Overton InsightsRubio 29.5Vance 28.8+4
State and party
Texas, Republican primary
Pollster
Overton Insights
Fieldwork
24–26 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 574
Line-up
Marco Rubio 29.5, JD Vance 28.8, Ron DeSantis 11.2, Ted Cruz 6.5, Tucker Carlson 5.9, Donald Trump Jr. 4.5, Would not vote 13.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas, Democratic primary26 Aug · Overton InsightsHarris 28.4Buttigieg 14.2+7
State and party
Texas, Democratic primary
Pollster
Overton Insights
Fieldwork
24–26 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 365
Line-up
Kamala Harris 28.4, Pete Buttigieg 14.2, Jon Ossoff 11.6, Gavin Newsom 11.5, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.6, Mark Kelly 9.4, Josh Shapiro 3.9, Andy Beshear 0.9, Rahm Emanuel 0.7, Would not vote 8.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tennessee, Democratic primary26 Aug · Targoz Market ResearchNewsom 25Harris 22+5
State and party
Tennessee, Democratic primary
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
15–26 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 204
Line-up
Gavin Newsom 25, Kamala Harris 22, Pete Buttigieg 16, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12, Jon Ossoff 8, Mark Kelly 5, Josh Shapiro 3, Don't know 9, Someone else 0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tennessee, Democratic primary26 Aug · Targoz Market ResearchHarris 30Newsom 18+5
State and party
Tennessee, Democratic primary
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
15–26 Aug
Sample
Registered voters · 385
Line-up
Kamala Harris 30, Gavin Newsom 18, Pete Buttigieg 11, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10, Mark Kelly 8, Jon Ossoff 6, Josh Shapiro 2, Don't know 15, Someone else 0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tennessee, Republican primary26 Aug · Targoz Market ResearchVance 56Rubio 24+1
State and party
Tennessee, Republican primary
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
15–26 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 345
Line-up
JD Vance 56, Marco Rubio 24, Ron DeSantis 14, Don't know 5, Someone else 1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tennessee, Republican primary26 Aug · Targoz Market ResearchVance 56Rubio 22+1
State and party
Tennessee, Republican primary
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
15–26 Aug
Sample
Registered voters · 608
Line-up
JD Vance 56, Marco Rubio 22, Ron DeSantis 11, Don't know 10, Someone else 1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Florida, Republican primary29 Jul · Quantus InsightsRubio 42Vance 24.2+5
State and party
Florida, Republican primary
Pollster
Quantus Insights
Fieldwork
27–29 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 635
Line-up
Marco Rubio 42, JD Vance 24.2, Ron DeSantis 12.9, John Kennedy 1.5, Nikki Haley 1.4, Rand Paul 1.4, Ted Cruz 0.9, Don't know 10.7, Someone else 4.9
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire, Republican primary20 Jul · University of New HampshireVance 36Rubio 26+12
State and party
New Hampshire, Republican primary
Pollster
University of New Hampshire
Fieldwork
15–20 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 573
Line-up
JD Vance 36, Marco Rubio 26, Rand Paul 8, Nikki Haley 8, Ron DeSantis 6, Tulsi Gabbard 4, John Kennedy 2, Kristi Noem 1, Josh Hawley 1, Glenn Youngkin 0, Tim Scott 0, Brian Kemp 0, Ted Cruz 0, Tom Cotton 0, Don't know 6, Someone else 1
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire, Democratic primary20 Jul · University of New HampshireOcasio-Cortez 22Buttigieg 21+15
State and party
New Hampshire, Democratic primary
Pollster
University of New Hampshire
Fieldwork
15–20 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 648
Line-up
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22, Pete Buttigieg 21, Mark Kelly 9, Gavin Newsom 8, Bernie Sanders 6, Kamala Harris 5, Josh Shapiro 2, Jon Ossoff 2, Ro Khanna 2, Cory Booker 2, JB Pritzker 1, Amy Klobuchar 1, Andy Beshear 1, Gretchen Whitmer 0, Wes Moore 0, Ruben Gallego 0, Rahm Emanuel 0, Don't know 12, Someone else 4
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan, Democratic primary11 Jul · Glengariff Group, Inc.Harris 25.1Buttigieg 19.4+7
State and party
Michigan, Democratic primary
Pollster
Glengariff Group, Inc.
Fieldwork
8–11 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 500
Line-up
Kamala Harris 25.1, Pete Buttigieg 19.4, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11.5, Gavin Newsom 10.1, Mark Kelly 8.3, Cory Booker 8.3, Josh Shapiro 4.4, JB Pritzker 2.2, Wes Moore 1.6, Don't know 7.5, Someone else 1.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire, Democratic primary25 Jun · St. AnselmButtigieg 29Ocasio-Cortez 17+13
State and party
New Hampshire, Democratic primary
Pollster
St. Anselm
Fieldwork
24–25 Jun
Sample
Registered voters · 810
Line-up
Pete Buttigieg 29, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17, Gavin Newsom 11, Kamala Harris 4, Amy Klobuchar 3, Josh Shapiro 3, Andy Beshear 3, JB Pritzker 3, Cory Booker 3, Jon Ossoff 2, Wes Moore 2, Rahm Emanuel 1, Mark Kelly 1, Chris Murphy 1, Gretchen Whitmer 0, Don't know 15, Someone else 2
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire, Republican primary25 Jun · St. AnselmVance 37Rubio 30+6
State and party
New Hampshire, Republican primary
Pollster
St. Anselm
Fieldwork
24–25 Jun
Sample
Registered voters · 739
Line-up
JD Vance 37, Marco Rubio 30, Ron DeSantis 7, Tulsi Gabbard 3, Glenn Youngkin 2, Vivek Ramaswamy 1, Ted Cruz 0, Robert F. Kennedy 0, Don't know 14, Someone else 5
Source
Pollster’s release →
Minnesota, Republican primary25 Jun · Minnesota Private Business CouncilVance 47.4Rubio 31.4+8
State and party
Minnesota, Republican primary
Pollster
Minnesota Private Business Council
Fieldwork
23–25 Jun
Sample
Likely voters · 1,601
Line-up
JD Vance 47.4, Marco Rubio 31.4, Ron DeSantis 3.8, Thomas Massie 2.5, Donald Trump Jr. 1.8, Tulsi Gabbard 1.3, Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8, Tucker Carlson 0.6, Ted Cruz 0.6, Glenn Youngkin 0.4, Don't know 9.5, Would not vote 0.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
FieldworkPollsterState and partyPopulation and sampleLine-upSource
26–30 OctBig Data PollFlorida, Republican primaryLikely voterssample not statedJD Vance 30.6Ron DeSantis 25.6Marco Rubio 25.2Robert F. Kennedy 4.5Ted Cruz 2.7Nikki Haley 2.1Tulsi Gabbard 1.7Brian Kemp 1.3Rand Paul 0.8Glenn Youngkin 0.8Steve Bannon 0.5Don't know 4Someone else 0.3Source
19–20 OctSt. AnselmNew Hampshire, Republican primaryLikely voters734Marco Rubio 38JD Vance 38Ron DeSantis 5Robert F. Kennedy 4Ted Cruz 1Glenn Youngkin 1Don't know 11Someone else 2Source
19–20 OctSt. AnselmNew Hampshire, Democratic primaryLikely voters784Pete Buttigieg 28Jon Ossoff 14Mark Kelly 11Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10Gavin Newsom 8Kamala Harris 5JB Pritzker 3Josh Shapiro 2Andy Beshear 2Ro Khanna 2Wes Moore 1Cory Booker 1Rahm Emanuel 1Chris Murphy 0Gretchen Whitmer 0Don't know 9Someone else 1Source
17–20 OctMcLaughlin & AssociatesCalifornia, Democratic primaryLikely voters419Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18Pete Buttigieg 17Gavin Newsom 14Mark Kelly 10Kamala Harris 7JB Pritzker 3Josh Shapiro 3Cory Booker 2Gretchen Whitmer 1Rahm Emanuel 1Stephen A. Smith 0Jared Polis 0Wes Moore 0Don't know 23Source
29–30 SepBig Data PollMinnesota, Republican primaryLikely voters249JD Vance 40Marco Rubio 22.5Ron DeSantis 8.3Nikki Haley 4.5Robert F. Kennedy 4.5Tucker Carlson 3.7Rand Paul 2.6Ted Cruz 2.5Glenn Youngkin 2.1Tulsi Gabbard 1Brian Kemp 0.8Steve Bannon 0.2Don't know 6.4Someone else 1Source
29–30 SepBig Data PollMinnesota, Democratic primaryLikely voters297Kamala Harris 24.3Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15.3Pete Buttigieg 12.3Gavin Newsom 10.5Mark Kelly 7.2Jon Ossoff 6.3Josh Shapiro 5.3Andy Beshear 3.1Stephen A. Smith 1.4Gretchen Whitmer 0.3Don't know 11.9Someone else 2.2Source
27–29 SepBig Data PollNorth Carolina, Republican primaryLikely voters331JD Vance 40.2Marco Rubio 18.2Robert F. Kennedy 9.5Ron DeSantis 9.2Nikki Haley 5.2Ted Cruz 4.2Rand Paul 3.4Tucker Carlson 1.1Tulsi Gabbard 0.6Glenn Youngkin 0.5Brian Kemp 0.3Steve Bannon 0.3Don't know 5.5Someone else 1.8Source
27–29 SepBig Data PollNorth Carolina, Democratic primaryRegistered voters297Kamala Harris 30.7Pete Buttigieg 14.8Gavin Newsom 13.6Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.7Josh Shapiro 7.5Mark Kelly 5.4Jon Ossoff 3.3Gretchen Whitmer 2.8Andy Beshear 2Stephen A. Smith 0.9Don't know 8.4Someone else 2.1Source
27–29 SepBig Data PollNorth Carolina, Democratic primaryLikely voters281Kamala Harris 31.3Pete Buttigieg 14.5Gavin Newsom 14.1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8Josh Shapiro 7.9Mark Kelly 5.4Jon Ossoff 3Gretchen Whitmer 2.9Andy Beshear 2Stephen A. Smith 0.9Don't know 7.8Someone else 2.2Source
27–29 SepBig Data PollNorth Carolina, Republican primaryRegistered voters355JD Vance 39.2Marco Rubio 18.3Ron DeSantis 9.9Nikki Haley 5Ted Cruz 4Rand Paul 3.5Tucker Carlson 1Tulsi Gabbard 0.6Glenn Youngkin 0.5Brian Kemp 0.3Steve Bannon 0.3Robert F. Kennedy 8.8Don't know 7Someone else 1.7Source
26–27 SepBig Data PollOhio, Republican primaryLikely voters340JD Vance 40.7Marco Rubio 14.4Tulsi Gabbard 10.6Robert F. Kennedy 7.1Steve Bannon 6.3Nikki Haley 6.2Ron DeSantis 6.1Ted Cruz 2.4Tucker Carlson 1.7Rand Paul 1.6Glenn Youngkin 1.2Brian Kemp 0.1Someone else 1.4Don't know 0Source
26–27 SepBig Data PollOhio, Republican primaryRegistered voters349JD Vance 40Marco Rubio 14.2Tulsi Gabbard 11.4Robert F. Kennedy 7Steve Bannon 6.3Nikki Haley 6.2Ron DeSantis 6Ted Cruz 2.4Rand Paul 2.4Tucker Carlson 1.7Glenn Youngkin 1.2Brian Kemp 0.1Someone else 1.4Don't know 0Source
26–27 SepBig Data PollOhio, Democratic primaryRegistered voters316Kamala Harris 22.6Gavin Newsom 15.6Pete Buttigieg 12.1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.8Josh Shapiro 7.6Andy Beshear 5Jon Ossoff 4.3Gretchen Whitmer 3.1Mark Kelly 2.8Stephen A. Smith 1Don't know 12.9Someone else 3.1Source
26–27 SepBig Data PollOhio, Democratic primaryLikely voters302Kamala Harris 21.9Gavin Newsom 16.2Pete Buttigieg 12.7Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.1Josh Shapiro 7.9Andy Beshear 5.3Jon Ossoff 4.5Gretchen Whitmer 3.3Mark Kelly 3Stephen A. Smith 1.1Don't know 11.5Someone else 2.6Source
24–26 SepBig Data PollTexas, Democratic primaryRegistered voters315Kamala Harris 31.8Gavin Newsom 16Pete Buttigieg 9.2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.2Jon Ossoff 4Mark Kelly 3.8Josh Shapiro 3.4Andy Beshear 3Stephen A. Smith 2.8Gretchen Whitmer 2.2Don't know 11.4Someone else 3.3Source
24–26 SepBig Data PollTexas, Republican primaryRegistered voters402JD Vance 39Marco Rubio 15.2Ted Cruz 7.3Robert F. Kennedy 6.3Ron DeSantis 5.3Tulsi Gabbard 3Rand Paul 2.8Glenn Youngkin 2.1Brian Kemp 2.1Nikki Haley 1.8Steve Bannon 1.8Tucker Carlson 1Don't know 10Someone else 2.2Source
24–26 SepBig Data PollTexas, Democratic primaryLikely voters284Kamala Harris 30.9Gavin Newsom 16.5Pete Buttigieg 10.1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.8Jon Ossoff 4.4Mark Kelly 3.9Josh Shapiro 3.8Andy Beshear 3.3Stephen A. Smith 3.1Gretchen Whitmer 2.3Don't know 9.3Someone else 2.5Source
24–26 SepBig Data PollTexas, Republican primaryLikely voters376JD Vance 40.6Marco Rubio 16Robert F. Kennedy 6.7Ted Cruz 6.5Ron DeSantis 4.8Tulsi Gabbard 3.2Rand Paul 2.3Glenn Youngkin 2.1Nikki Haley 1.9Steve Bannon 1.9Brian Kemp 1.8Tucker Carlson 1.1Don't know 9.5Someone else 1.6Source
21–23 SepBig Data PollGeorgia, Democratic primaryLikely voters313Jon Ossoff 29.6Kamala Harris 24Gavin Newsom 12.9Pete Buttigieg 7.1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6Mark Kelly 5.5Josh Shapiro 3.5Andy Beshear 3.3Gretchen Whitmer 1.1Stephen A. Smith 0.8Don't know 4.2Someone else 2Source
21–23 SepBig Data PollGeorgia, Republican primaryRegistered voters338JD Vance 37.3Marco Rubio 15.1Brian Kemp 14.4Ron DeSantis 12.8Robert F. Kennedy 4.2Nikki Haley 2.7Ted Cruz 2.6Tucker Carlson 1.4Steve Bannon 1.3Glenn Youngkin 1.3Tulsi Gabbard 0.4Rand Paul 0.1Don't know 6.3Someone else 0.1Source
21–23 SepBig Data PollGeorgia, Democratic primaryRegistered voters320Jon Ossoff 29.7Kamala Harris 24.1Gavin Newsom 12.8Pete Buttigieg 7Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9Mark Kelly 5.4Josh Shapiro 3.5Andy Beshear 3.3Gretchen Whitmer 1.1Stephen A. Smith 0.8Don't know 4.6Someone else 2Source
21–23 SepBig Data PollGeorgia, Republican primaryLikely voters328JD Vance 37.5Marco Rubio 15.6Brian Kemp 14.7Ron DeSantis 12.9Robert F. Kennedy 3.8Nikki Haley 2.7Ted Cruz 2.5Tucker Carlson 1.4Steve Bannon 1.3Glenn Youngkin 1.3Tulsi Gabbard 0.3Rand Paul 0.2Don't know 5.5Someone else 0.1Source
24–26 AugOverton InsightsTexas, Republican primaryLikely voters574Marco Rubio 29.5JD Vance 28.8Ron DeSantis 11.2Ted Cruz 6.5Tucker Carlson 5.9Donald Trump Jr. 4.5Would not vote 13.6Source
24–26 AugOverton InsightsTexas, Democratic primaryLikely voters365Kamala Harris 28.4Pete Buttigieg 14.2Jon Ossoff 11.6Gavin Newsom 11.5Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.6Mark Kelly 9.4Josh Shapiro 3.9Andy Beshear 0.9Rahm Emanuel 0.7Would not vote 8.8Source
15–26 AugTargoz Market ResearchTennessee, Democratic primaryLikely voters204Gavin Newsom 25Kamala Harris 22Pete Buttigieg 16Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12Jon Ossoff 8Mark Kelly 5Josh Shapiro 3Don't know 9Someone else 0Source
15–26 AugTargoz Market ResearchTennessee, Democratic primaryRegistered voters385Kamala Harris 30Gavin Newsom 18Pete Buttigieg 11Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10Mark Kelly 8Jon Ossoff 6Josh Shapiro 2Don't know 15Someone else 0Source
15–26 AugTargoz Market ResearchTennessee, Republican primaryLikely voters345JD Vance 56Marco Rubio 24Ron DeSantis 14Don't know 5Someone else 1Source
15–26 AugTargoz Market ResearchTennessee, Republican primaryRegistered voters608JD Vance 56Marco Rubio 22Ron DeSantis 11Don't know 10Someone else 1Source
27–29 JulQuantus InsightsFlorida, Republican primaryLikely voters635Marco Rubio 42JD Vance 24.2Ron DeSantis 12.9John Kennedy 1.5Nikki Haley 1.4Rand Paul 1.4Ted Cruz 0.9Don't know 10.7Someone else 4.9Source
15–20 JulUniversity of New HampshireNew Hampshire, Republican primaryLikely voters573JD Vance 36Marco Rubio 26Rand Paul 8Nikki Haley 8Ron DeSantis 6Tulsi Gabbard 4John Kennedy 2Kristi Noem 1Josh Hawley 1Glenn Youngkin 0Tim Scott 0Brian Kemp 0Ted Cruz 0Tom Cotton 0Don't know 6Someone else 1Source
15–20 JulUniversity of New HampshireNew Hampshire, Democratic primaryLikely voters648Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22Pete Buttigieg 21Mark Kelly 9Gavin Newsom 8Bernie Sanders 6Kamala Harris 5Josh Shapiro 2Jon Ossoff 2Ro Khanna 2Cory Booker 2JB Pritzker 1Amy Klobuchar 1Andy Beshear 1Gretchen Whitmer 0Wes Moore 0Ruben Gallego 0Rahm Emanuel 0Don't know 12Someone else 4Source
8–11 JulGlengariff Group, Inc.Michigan, Democratic primaryLikely voters500Kamala Harris 25.1Pete Buttigieg 19.4Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11.5Gavin Newsom 10.1Mark Kelly 8.3Cory Booker 8.3Josh Shapiro 4.4JB Pritzker 2.2Wes Moore 1.6Don't know 7.5Someone else 1.6Source
24–25 JunSt. AnselmNew Hampshire, Democratic primaryRegistered voters810Pete Buttigieg 29Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17Gavin Newsom 11Kamala Harris 4Amy Klobuchar 3Josh Shapiro 3Andy Beshear 3JB Pritzker 3Cory Booker 3Jon Ossoff 2Wes Moore 2Rahm Emanuel 1Mark Kelly 1Chris Murphy 1Gretchen Whitmer 0Don't know 15Someone else 2Source
24–25 JunSt. AnselmNew Hampshire, Republican primaryRegistered voters739JD Vance 37Marco Rubio 30Ron DeSantis 7Tulsi Gabbard 3Glenn Youngkin 2Vivek Ramaswamy 1Ted Cruz 0Robert F. Kennedy 0Don't know 14Someone else 5Source
23–25 JunMinnesota Private Business CouncilMinnesota, Republican primaryLikely voters1,601JD Vance 47.4Marco Rubio 31.4Ron DeSantis 3.8Thomas Massie 2.5Donald Trump Jr. 1.8Tulsi Gabbard 1.3Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8Tucker Carlson 0.6Ted Cruz 0.6Glenn Youngkin 0.4Don't know 9.5Would not vote 0.2Source

State polls of the Democratic and Republican nominations. Each row is one question in one state; these are not general-election matchups. Source: the New York Times polling database. The feed was last refreshed on 13 November 2026.

2028 general-election matchups

40 poll questions listed · newest 5 Nov 2026 · 42 in the feed

National, head-to-head5 Nov · McLaughlin & AssociatesRubio (R) 48Ocasio-Cortez (D) 38
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
McLaughlin & Associates
Fieldwork
30 Oct–5 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Marco Rubio (R) 48, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 38, Don't know 14
Margin
Marco Rubio +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head5 Nov · McLaughlin & AssociatesVance (R) 49Ocasio-Cortez (D) 39
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
McLaughlin & Associates
Fieldwork
30 Oct–5 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 49, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 39, Don't know 13
Margin
JD Vance +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovButtigieg (D) 36Vance (R) 34
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,413
Line-up
Pete Buttigieg (D) 36, JD Vance (R) 34, Don't know 23, Aaron Rodgers 7
Margin
Pete Buttigieg +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovVance (R) 35Ocasio-Cortez (D) 35
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,409
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 35, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 35, Don't know 24, Stephen A. Smith 6
Margin
Level
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovOcasio-Cortez (D) 36Vance (R) 35
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,407
Line-up
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 36, JD Vance (R) 35, Don't know 22, Aaron Rodgers 6
Margin
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovOcasio-Cortez (D) 40Vance (R) 38
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,413
Line-up
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 40, JD Vance (R) 38, Don't know 22
Margin
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovVance (R) 34Cuban (D) 34
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,407
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 34, Mark Cuban (D) 34, Don't know 26, Aaron Rodgers 6
Margin
Level
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovNewsom (D) 37Vance (R) 35
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,413
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 37, JD Vance (R) 35, Don't know 21, Aaron Rodgers 7
Margin
Gavin Newsom +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovVance (R) 34Cuban (D) 34
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,407
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 34, Mark Cuban (D) 34, Don't know 26, Stephen A. Smith 6
Margin
Level
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovCuban (D) 39Vance (R) 34
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,414
Line-up
Mark Cuban (D) 39, JD Vance (R) 34, Don't know 27
Margin
Mark Cuban +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovNewsom (D) 41Vance (R) 36
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,412
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 41, JD Vance (R) 36, Don't know 23
Margin
Gavin Newsom +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovNewsom (D) 37Vance (R) 34
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,407
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 37, JD Vance (R) 34, Don't know 23, Stephen A. Smith 6
Margin
Gavin Newsom +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovVance (R) 35Buttigieg (D) 34
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,409
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 35, Pete Buttigieg (D) 34, Don't know 25, Stephen A. Smith 7
Margin
JD Vance +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head14 Oct · YouGovButtigieg (D) 38Vance (R) 36
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
10–14 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,415
Line-up
Pete Buttigieg (D) 38, JD Vance (R) 36, Don't know 25
Margin
Pete Buttigieg +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Oct · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovOcasio-Cortez (D) 45Vance (R) 42
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov
Fieldwork
2–4 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 45, JD Vance (R) 42, Don't know 7, Would not vote 3, Someone else 3
Margin
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Oct · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNewsom (D) 46Vance (R) 42
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov
Fieldwork
2–4 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 46, JD Vance (R) 42, Don't know 6, Someone else 4, Would not vote 2
Margin
Gavin Newsom +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Oct · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNewsom (D) 44Rubio (R) 42
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov
Fieldwork
2–4 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 44, Marco Rubio (R) 42, Don't know 9, Someone else 3, Would not vote 1
Margin
Gavin Newsom +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Oct · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovRubio (R) 43Ocasio-Cortez (D) 43
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov
Fieldwork
2–4 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Marco Rubio (R) 43, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 43, Don't know 9, Someone else 3, Would not vote 2
Margin
Level
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Oct · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovBiden (D) 37Trump (R) 36
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov
Fieldwork
2–4 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Hunter Biden (D) 37, Donald Trump Jr. (R) 36, Someone else 10, Would not vote 9, Don't know 8
Margin
Hunter Biden +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head28 Aug · Quantus InsightsVance (R) 45.1Ocasio-Cortez (D) 41.8
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Quantus Insights
Fieldwork
26–28 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,200
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 45.1, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 41.8, Don't know 9.6, Someone else 3.5
Margin
JD Vance +3.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeVance (R) 45.8Ocasio-Cortez (D) 43.6
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 45.8, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 43.6, Don't know 10.5
Margin
JD Vance +2.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeButtigieg (D) 48.8Rubio (R) 44.2
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Pete Buttigieg (D) 48.8, Marco Rubio (R) 44.2, Don't know 7
Margin
Pete Buttigieg +4.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeNewsom (D) 48.8Vance (R) 44.3
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 48.8, JD Vance (R) 44.3, Don't know 6.9
Margin
Gavin Newsom +4.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeRubio (R) 48Harris (D) 43.1
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Marco Rubio (R) 48, Kamala Harris (D) 43.1, Don't know 8.9
Margin
Marco Rubio +4.9
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeOssoff (D) 47.4Rubio (R) 44.1
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Jon Ossoff (D) 47.4, Marco Rubio (R) 44.1, Don't know 8.6
Margin
Jon Ossoff +3.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeButtigieg (D) 48.9Vance (R) 43.6
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Pete Buttigieg (D) 48.9, JD Vance (R) 43.6, Don't know 7.6
Margin
Pete Buttigieg +5.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeNewsom (D) 47.7Rubio (R) 45.9
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Gavin Newsom (D) 47.7, Marco Rubio (R) 45.9, Don't know 6.4
Margin
Gavin Newsom +1.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeHarris (D) 48.8Vance (R) 44.7
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Kamala Harris (D) 48.8, JD Vance (R) 44.7, Don't know 6.5
Margin
Kamala Harris +4.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeRubio (R) 47.7Ocasio-Cortez (D) 42.9
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Marco Rubio (R) 47.7, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 42.9, Don't know 9.3
Margin
Marco Rubio +4.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · Emerson CollegeOssoff (D) 48.8Vance (R) 43.8
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
16–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Jon Ossoff (D) 48.8, JD Vance (R) 43.8, Don't know 7.4
Margin
Jon Ossoff +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · LegerDemocrat (D) 43Republican (R) 33
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Leger
Fieldwork
15–17 Aug
Sample
Adults · 1,010
Line-up
Generic Democrat (D) 43, Generic Republican (R) 33, Someone else 3
Margin
Generic Democrat +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head17 Aug · LegerDemocrat (D) 54Republican (R) 42
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Leger
Fieldwork
15–17 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 832
Line-up
Generic Democrat (D) 54, Generic Republican (R) 42, Someone else 4
Margin
Generic Democrat +12.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina, head-to-head12 Aug · High Point UniversityRepublican (R) 44Democrat (D) 43
Where and what
North Carolina, head-to-head
Pollster
High Point University
Fieldwork
3–12 Aug
Sample
Registered voters · 800
Line-up
Generic Republican (R) 44, Generic Democrat (D) 43, Don't know/Would not vote 11, Someone else 2
Margin
Generic Republican +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina, head-to-head12 Aug · High Point UniversityRepublican (R) 47Democrat (D) 45
Where and what
North Carolina, head-to-head
Pollster
High Point University
Fieldwork
3–12 Aug
Sample
Likely voters · 660
Line-up
Generic Republican (R) 47, Generic Democrat (D) 45, Don't know/Would not vote 6, Someone else 2
Margin
Generic Republican +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Jul · Zogby AnalyticsRubio (R) 39.2Ocasio-Cortez (D) 38.3
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Zogby Analytics
Fieldwork
1–4 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 1,003
Line-up
Marco Rubio (R) 39.2, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 38.3, Don't know 22.6
Margin
Marco Rubio +0.9
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Jul · Zogby AnalyticsRubio (R) 40.3Newsom (D) 36.2
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Zogby Analytics
Fieldwork
1–4 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 1,003
Line-up
Marco Rubio (R) 40.3, Gavin Newsom (D) 36.2, Don't know 23.5
Margin
Marco Rubio +4.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Jul · Zogby AnalyticsHarris (D) 46.3Rubio (R) 41.3
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Zogby Analytics
Fieldwork
1–4 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 1,003
Line-up
Kamala Harris (D) 46.3, Marco Rubio (R) 41.3, Don't know 12.4
Margin
Kamala Harris +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Jul · Zogby AnalyticsVance (R) 45.1Newsom (D) 38.1
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Zogby Analytics
Fieldwork
1–4 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 1,003
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 45.1, Gavin Newsom (D) 38.1, Don't know 16.9
Margin
JD Vance +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Jul · Zogby AnalyticsHarris (D) 47.9Vance (R) 43.3
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Zogby Analytics
Fieldwork
1–4 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 1,003
Line-up
Kamala Harris (D) 47.9, JD Vance (R) 43.3, Don't know 8.8
Margin
Kamala Harris +4.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
National, head-to-head4 Jul · Zogby AnalyticsVance (R) 45Ocasio-Cortez (D) 37.6
Where and what
National, head-to-head
Pollster
Zogby Analytics
Fieldwork
1–4 Jul
Sample
Likely voters · 1,003
Line-up
JD Vance (R) 45, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 37.6, Don't know 17.4
Margin
JD Vance +7.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
FieldworkPollsterWhere and whatPopulation and sampleLine-upMarginSource
30 Oct–5 NovMcLaughlin & AssociatesNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Marco Rubio (R) 48Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 38Don't know 14Marco Rubio +10.0Source
30 Oct–5 NovMcLaughlin & AssociatesNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000JD Vance (R) 49Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 39Don't know 13JD Vance +10.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,413Pete Buttigieg (D) 36JD Vance (R) 34Don't know 23Aaron Rodgers 7Pete Buttigieg +2.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,409JD Vance (R) 35Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 35Don't know 24Stephen A. Smith 6LevelSource
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,407Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 36JD Vance (R) 35Don't know 22Aaron Rodgers 6Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,413Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 40JD Vance (R) 38Don't know 22Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +2.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,407JD Vance (R) 34Mark Cuban (D) 34Don't know 26Aaron Rodgers 6LevelSource
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,413Gavin Newsom (D) 37JD Vance (R) 35Don't know 21Aaron Rodgers 7Gavin Newsom +2.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,407JD Vance (R) 34Mark Cuban (D) 34Don't know 26Stephen A. Smith 6LevelSource
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,414Mark Cuban (D) 39JD Vance (R) 34Don't know 27Mark Cuban +5.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,412Gavin Newsom (D) 41JD Vance (R) 36Don't know 23Gavin Newsom +5.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,407Gavin Newsom (D) 37JD Vance (R) 34Don't know 23Stephen A. Smith 6Gavin Newsom +3.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,409JD Vance (R) 35Pete Buttigieg (D) 34Don't know 25Stephen A. Smith 7JD Vance +1.0Source
10–14 OctYouGovNational, head-to-headAdults1,415Pete Buttigieg (D) 38JD Vance (R) 36Don't know 25Pete Buttigieg +2.0Source
2–4 OctUniversity of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 45JD Vance (R) 42Don't know 7Would not vote 3Someone else 3Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +3.0Source
2–4 OctUniversity of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Gavin Newsom (D) 46JD Vance (R) 42Don't know 6Someone else 4Would not vote 2Gavin Newsom +4.0Source
2–4 OctUniversity of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Gavin Newsom (D) 44Marco Rubio (R) 42Don't know 9Someone else 3Would not vote 1Gavin Newsom +2.0Source
2–4 OctUniversity of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Marco Rubio (R) 43Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 43Don't know 9Someone else 3Would not vote 2LevelSource
2–4 OctUniversity of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Hunter Biden (D) 37Donald Trump Jr. (R) 36Someone else 10Would not vote 9Don't know 8Hunter Biden +1.0Source
26–28 AugQuantus InsightsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,200JD Vance (R) 45.1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 41.8Don't know 9.6Someone else 3.5JD Vance +3.3Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000JD Vance (R) 45.8Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 43.6Don't know 10.5JD Vance +2.2Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Pete Buttigieg (D) 48.8Marco Rubio (R) 44.2Don't know 7Pete Buttigieg +4.6Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Gavin Newsom (D) 48.8JD Vance (R) 44.3Don't know 6.9Gavin Newsom +4.5Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Marco Rubio (R) 48Kamala Harris (D) 43.1Don't know 8.9Marco Rubio +4.9Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Jon Ossoff (D) 47.4Marco Rubio (R) 44.1Don't know 8.6Jon Ossoff +3.3Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Pete Buttigieg (D) 48.9JD Vance (R) 43.6Don't know 7.6Pete Buttigieg +5.3Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Gavin Newsom (D) 47.7Marco Rubio (R) 45.9Don't know 6.4Gavin Newsom +1.8Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Kamala Harris (D) 48.8JD Vance (R) 44.7Don't know 6.5Kamala Harris +4.1Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Marco Rubio (R) 47.7Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 42.9Don't know 9.3Marco Rubio +4.8Source
16–17 AugEmerson CollegeNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,000Jon Ossoff (D) 48.8JD Vance (R) 43.8Don't know 7.4Jon Ossoff +5.0Source
15–17 AugLegerNational, head-to-headAdults1,010Generic Democrat (D) 43Generic Republican (R) 33Someone else 3Generic Democrat +10.0Source
15–17 AugLegerNational, head-to-headLikely voters832Generic Democrat (D) 54Generic Republican (R) 42Someone else 4Generic Democrat +12.0Source
3–12 AugHigh Point UniversityNorth Carolina, head-to-headRegistered voters800Generic Republican (R) 44Generic Democrat (D) 43Don't know/Would not vote 11Someone else 2Generic Republican +1.0Source
3–12 AugHigh Point UniversityNorth Carolina, head-to-headLikely voters660Generic Republican (R) 47Generic Democrat (D) 45Don't know/Would not vote 6Someone else 2Generic Republican +2.0Source
1–4 JulZogby AnalyticsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,003Marco Rubio (R) 39.2Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 38.3Don't know 22.6Marco Rubio +0.9Source
1–4 JulZogby AnalyticsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,003Marco Rubio (R) 40.3Gavin Newsom (D) 36.2Don't know 23.5Marco Rubio +4.1Source
1–4 JulZogby AnalyticsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,003Kamala Harris (D) 46.3Marco Rubio (R) 41.3Don't know 12.4Kamala Harris +5.0Source
1–4 JulZogby AnalyticsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,003JD Vance (R) 45.1Gavin Newsom (D) 38.1Don't know 16.9JD Vance +7.0Source
1–4 JulZogby AnalyticsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,003Kamala Harris (D) 47.9JD Vance (R) 43.3Don't know 8.8Kamala Harris +4.6Source
1–4 JulZogby AnalyticsNational, head-to-headLikely voters1,003JD Vance (R) 45Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 37.6Don't know 17.4JD Vance +7.4Source

Hypothetical pairings for November 2028. No one has been nominated; each row is one question as the pollster asked it. Source: the New York Times polling database. The feed was last refreshed on 13 November 2026.

Generic ballot

40 polls listed · newest 2 Nov 2026 · 100 in the feed

John Zogby Strategies2 NovDemocrat 53Republican 47D +6.0
Pollster
John Zogby Strategies
Fieldwork
1–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,001
Line-up
Democrats 53, Republicans 47
Margin
Democratic +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ipsos2 NovDemocrat 52Republican 44D +8.0
Pollster
Ipsosfor Reuters
Fieldwork
29 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,212
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 44, Other 4
Margin
Democratic +8.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Focaldata1 NovDemocrat 52.3Republican 44.8D +7.4
Pollster
Focaldatafor Financial Times
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 2,090
Line-up
Democrats 52.3, Republicans 44.8, Other 2.9
Margin
Democratic +7.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
AtlasIntel1 NovDemocrat 55.5Republican 41.4D +14.1
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Adults · 3,566
Line-up
Democrats 55.5, Republicans 41.4, Other 3.1
Margin
Democratic +14.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Morning Consult1 NovDemocrat 51Republican 43.1D +7.9
Pollster
Morning Consult
Fieldwork
26 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 16,929
Line-up
Democrats 51, Republicans 43.1, Other 5.9
Margin
Democratic +7.9
Source
Pollster’s release →
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies30 OctDemocrat 52Republican 45D +7.0
Pollster
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategiesfor NBC News
Fieldwork
28–30 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,000
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 45, Other 3
Margin
Democratic +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Big Data Poll30 OctDemocrat 52.3Republican 40D +12.3
Pollster
Big Data Pollfor Public Polling Project
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 3,214
Line-up
Democrats 52.3, Republicans 40
Margin
Democratic +12.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
YouGov30 OctDemocrat 53Republican 44D +9.0
Pollster
YouGov
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 3,908
Line-up
Democrats 53, Republicans 44, Other 3
Margin
Democratic +9.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
TIPP Insights30 OctDemocrat 52Republican 42D +10.0
Pollster
TIPP Insightsfor Issues & Insights
Fieldwork
27–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,158
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 42, Other 5
Margin
Democratic +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
ActiVote30 OctDemocrat 53.5Republican 46.5D +7.0
Pollster
ActiVote
Fieldwork
22–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 2,000
Line-up
Democrats 53.5, Republicans 46.5
Margin
Democratic +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
The Honest Poll29 OctDemocrat 54Republican 41D +13.0
Pollster
The Honest Poll
Fieldwork
28–29 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,158
Line-up
Democrats 54, Republicans 41, Other 5
Margin
Democratic +13.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ipsos28 OctDemocrat 50Republican 44D +6.0
Pollster
Ipsos
Fieldwork
9–28 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,209
Line-up
Democrats 50, Republicans 44
Margin
Democratic +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tufts27 OctDemocrat 52Republican 40D +12.0
Pollster
Tufts
Fieldwork
23–27 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 499
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 40, Other 8
Margin
Democratic +12.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
HarrisX/Harris Poll26 OctDemocrat 52Republican 48D +4.0
Pollster
HarrisX/Harris Pollfor Harvard CAPS
Fieldwork
24–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 48
Margin
Democratic +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Emerson College26 OctDemocrat 52.4Republican 42.4D +10.0
Pollster
Emerson College
Fieldwork
24–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Democrats 52.4, Republicans 42.4, Other 5.2
Margin
Democratic +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
YouGov26 OctDemocrat 50Republican 41D +9.0
Pollster
YouGovfor Economist
Fieldwork
23–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,263
Line-up
Democrats 50, Republicans 41, Other 9
Margin
Democratic +9.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ipsos26 OctDemocrat 53Republican 44D +9.0
Pollster
Ipsosfor Reuters
Fieldwork
22–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,164
Line-up
Democrats 53, Republicans 44, Other 4
Margin
Democratic +9.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Leger25 OctDemocrat 42Republican 36D +6.0
Pollster
Leger
Fieldwork
23–25 Oct
Sample
Adults · 1,037
Line-up
Democrats 42, Republicans 36, Other 23
Margin
Democratic +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Morning Consult25 OctDemocrat 50.1Republican 43.4D +6.7
Pollster
Morning Consult
Fieldwork
19–25 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 17,491
Line-up
Democrats 50.1, Republicans 43.4, Other 6.5
Margin
Democratic +6.7
Source
Pollster’s release →
Cygnal24 OctDemocrat 51.5Republican 43.1D +8.4
Pollster
Cygnal
Fieldwork
23–24 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,500
Line-up
Democrats 51.5, Republicans 43.1, Other 5.4
Margin
Democratic +8.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
YouGov23 OctDemocrat 53Republican 45D +8.0
Pollster
YouGovfor CBS News
Fieldwork
21–23 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,749
Line-up
Democrats 53, Republicans 45, Other 1
Margin
Democratic +8.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
The Argument/Verasight23 OctDemocrat 55.4Republican 44.6D +10.8
Pollster
The Argument/Verasight
Fieldwork
21–23 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,549
Line-up
Democrats 55.4, Republicans 44.6
Margin
Democratic +10.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
Echelon Insights23 OctDemocrat 51Republican 46D +5.0
Pollster
Echelon Insightsfor NetChoice
Fieldwork
16–23 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 2,907
Line-up
Democrats 51, Republicans 46, Other 4
Margin
Democratic +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Targoz Market Research22 OctDemocrat 49Republican 46D +3.0
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
20–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,118
Line-up
Democrats 49, Republicans 46, Other 4
Margin
Democratic +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
ActiVote21 OctDemocrat 53.7Republican 46.3D +7.4
Pollster
ActiVote
Fieldwork
15–21 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,000
Line-up
Democrats 53.7, Republicans 46.3
Margin
Democratic +7.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
Clarity Campaign Labs21 OctDemocrat 52Republican 44D +8.0
Pollster
Clarity Campaign Labs
Fieldwork
15–21 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,016
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 44, Other 5
Margin
Democratic +8.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
YouGov20 OctDemocrat 50Republican 43D +7.0
Pollster
YouGovfor Economist
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,312
Line-up
Democrats 50, Republicans 43, Other 7
Margin
Democratic +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Marist University20 OctDemocrat 52Republican 44D +8.0
Pollster
Marist Universityfor NPR | PBS News
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,289
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 44, Other 5
Margin
Democratic +8.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Focaldata20 OctDemocrat 53Republican 44D +9.0
Pollster
Focaldatafor Financial Times
Fieldwork
16–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,549
Line-up
Democrats 53, Republicans 44, Other 3
Margin
Democratic +9.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Bedrock Polling20 OctDemocrat 52Republican 44D +8.0
Pollster
Bedrock Pollingfor Rainey Center
Fieldwork
14–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,279
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 44, Other 5
Margin
Democratic +8.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov20 OctDemocrat 47Republican 43D +4.0
Pollster
Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov
Fieldwork
14–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 724
Line-up
Democrats 47, Republicans 43, Other 10
Margin
Democratic +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Morning Consult20 OctDemocrat 48Republican 42D +6.0
Pollster
Morning Consultfor Deseret News
Fieldwork
13–20 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,050
Line-up
Democrats 48, Republicans 42
Margin
Democratic +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ipsos19 OctDemocrat 47Republican 35D +12.0
Pollster
Ipsosfor Reuters
Fieldwork
16–19 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,279
Line-up
Democrats 47, Republicans 35, Other 19
Margin
Democratic +12.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Echelon Insights19 OctDemocrat 50Republican 45D +5.0
Pollster
Echelon Insights
Fieldwork
15–19 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,010
Line-up
Democrats 50, Republicans 45, Other 6
Margin
Democratic +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Verasight19 OctDemocrat 54Republican 42D +12.0
Pollster
Verasightfor Strength In Numbers
Fieldwork
13–19 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,824
Line-up
Democrats 54, Republicans 42, Other 5
Margin
Democratic +12.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
The New York Times/Siena University19 OctDemocrat 51.7Republican 41.2D +10.5
Pollster
The New York Times/Siena University
Fieldwork
12–19 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 3,494
Line-up
Democrats 51.7, Republicans 41.2, Other 7
Margin
Democratic +10.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
CNN/SSRS18 OctDemocrat 49Republican 39D +10.0
Pollster
CNN/SSRS
Fieldwork
15–18 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,206
Line-up
Democrats 49, Republicans 39, Other 11
Margin
Democratic +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies18 OctDemocrat 52Republican 45D +7.0
Pollster
Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategiesfor CNBC
Fieldwork
14–18 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 1,000
Line-up
Democrats 52, Republicans 45, Other 3
Margin
Democratic +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Morning Consult18 OctDemocrat 50.4Republican 43.1D +7.3
Pollster
Morning Consult
Fieldwork
12–18 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 17,706
Line-up
Democrats 50.4, Republicans 43.1, Other 6.4
Margin
Democratic +7.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
Change Research18 OctDemocrat 50Republican 39D +11.0
Pollster
Change Research
Fieldwork
12–18 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 2,240
Line-up
Democrats 50, Republicans 39, Other 12
Margin
Democratic +11.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FieldworkPollsterPopulation and sampleLine-upMarginSource
1–2 NovJohn Zogby StrategiesLikely voters1,001Democrats 53Republicans 47Democratic +6.0Source
29 Oct–2 NovIpsosfor ReutersLikely voters1,212Democrats 52Republicans 44Other 4Democratic +8.0Source
30 Oct–1 NovFocaldatafor Financial TimesLikely voters2,090Democrats 52.3Republicans 44.8Other 2.9Democratic +7.4Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelAdults3,566Democrats 55.5Republicans 41.4Other 3.1Democratic +14.1Source
26 Oct–1 NovMorning ConsultLikely voters16,929Democrats 51Republicans 43.1Other 5.9Democratic +7.9Source
28–30 OctHart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategiesfor NBC NewsRegistered voters1,000Democrats 52Republicans 45Other 3Democratic +7.0Source
27–30 OctBig Data Pollfor Public Polling ProjectLikely voters3,214Democrats 52.3Republicans 40Democratic +12.3Source
27–30 OctYouGovLikely voters3,908Democrats 53Republicans 44Other 3Democratic +9.0Source
27–30 OctTIPP Insightsfor Issues & InsightsLikely voters1,158Democrats 52Republicans 42Other 5Democratic +10.0Source
22–30 OctActiVoteLikely voters2,000Democrats 53.5Republicans 46.5Democratic +7.0Source
28–29 OctThe Honest PollLikely voters1,158Democrats 54Republicans 41Other 5Democratic +13.0Source
9–28 OctIpsosLikely voters1,209Democrats 50Republicans 44Democratic +6.0Source
23–27 OctTuftsLikely voters499Democrats 52Republicans 40Other 8Democratic +12.0Source
24–26 OctHarrisX/Harris Pollfor Harvard CAPSLikely voterssample not statedDemocrats 52Republicans 48Democratic +4.0Source
24–26 OctEmerson CollegeLikely voters1,000Democrats 52.4Republicans 42.4Other 5.2Democratic +10.0Source
23–26 OctYouGovfor EconomistLikely voters1,263Democrats 50Republicans 41Other 9Democratic +9.0Source
22–26 OctIpsosfor ReutersLikely voters1,164Democrats 53Republicans 44Other 4Democratic +9.0Source
23–25 OctLegerAdults1,037Democrats 42Republicans 36Other 23Democratic +6.0Source
19–25 OctMorning ConsultLikely voters17,491Democrats 50.1Republicans 43.4Other 6.5Democratic +6.7Source
23–24 OctCygnalLikely voters1,500Democrats 51.5Republicans 43.1Other 5.4Democratic +8.4Source
21–23 OctYouGovfor CBS NewsLikely voters1,749Democrats 53Republicans 45Other 1Democratic +8.0Source
21–23 OctThe Argument/VerasightLikely voters1,549Democrats 55.4Republicans 44.6Democratic +10.8Source
16–23 OctEchelon Insightsfor NetChoiceLikely voters2,907Democrats 51Republicans 46Other 4Democratic +5.0Source
20–22 OctTargoz Market ResearchLikely voters1,118Democrats 49Republicans 46Other 4Democratic +3.0Source
15–21 OctActiVoteLikely voters1,000Democrats 53.7Republicans 46.3Democratic +7.4Source
15–21 OctClarity Campaign LabsLikely voters1,016Democrats 52Republicans 44Other 5Democratic +8.0Source
19–20 OctYouGovfor EconomistLikely voters1,312Democrats 50Republicans 43Other 7Democratic +7.0Source
19–20 OctMarist Universityfor NPR | PBS NewsLikely voters1,289Democrats 52Republicans 44Other 5Democratic +8.0Source
16–20 OctFocaldatafor Financial TimesLikely voters1,549Democrats 53Republicans 44Other 3Democratic +9.0Source
14–20 OctBedrock Pollingfor Rainey CenterRegistered voters1,279Democrats 52Republicans 44Other 5Democratic +8.0Source
14–20 OctPennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGovLikely voters724Democrats 47Republicans 43Other 10Democratic +4.0Source
13–20 OctMorning Consultfor Deseret NewsRegistered voters2,050Democrats 48Republicans 42Democratic +6.0Source
16–19 OctIpsosfor ReutersRegistered voters1,279Democrats 47Republicans 35Other 19Democratic +12.0Source
15–19 OctEchelon InsightsLikely voters1,010Democrats 50Republicans 45Other 6Democratic +5.0Source
13–19 OctVerasightfor Strength In NumbersLikely voters1,824Democrats 54Republicans 42Other 5Democratic +12.0Source
12–19 OctThe New York Times/Siena UniversityLikely voters3,494Democrats 51.7Republicans 41.2Other 7Democratic +10.5Source
15–18 OctCNN/SSRSRegistered voters1,206Democrats 49Republicans 39Other 11Democratic +10.0Source
14–18 OctHart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategiesfor CNBCRegistered voters1,000Democrats 52Republicans 45Other 3Democratic +7.0Source
12–18 OctMorning ConsultLikely voters17,706Democrats 50.4Republicans 43.1Other 6.4Democratic +7.3Source
12–18 OctChange ResearchRegistered voters2,240Democrats 50Republicans 39Other 12Democratic +11.0Source

National polls asking which party voters would back for Congress. Source: the New York Times polling dataset (nyt_csv). The newest poll was added to our feed on 12 November 2026.

Senate

40 polls listed · newest 2 Nov 2026 · 100 in the feed

Colorado2 Nov · Keating Research, Inc.Democrat 57.7Republican 37.5D +20.2
State
Colorado
Pollster
Keating Research, Inc.
Fieldwork
1–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 400
Line-up
John Hickenlooper (D) 57.7, Mark Baisley (R) 37.5, Other 4.8
Margin
John Hickenlooper +20.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan2 Nov · John Zogby StrategiesDemocrat 51Republican 49D +2.0
State
Michigan
Pollster
John Zogby Strategies
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,001
Line-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51, Mike Rogers (R) 49
Margin
Abdul El-Sayed +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas2 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 49Republican 46D +3.0
State
Texas
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
James Talarico (D) 49, Ken Paxton (R) 46, Other 4
Margin
James Talarico +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Mexico2 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 56Republican 37D +19.0
State
New Mexico
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Ben Ray Luján (D) 56, Larry Marker (R) 37, Other 7
Margin
Ben Ray Luján +19.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Illinois2 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 53Republican 41D +12.0
State
Illinois
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Juliana Stratton (D) 53, Don Tracy (R) 41, Other 6
Margin
Juliana Stratton +12.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Georgia2 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 52Republican 42D +10.0
State
Georgia
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Jon Ossoff (D) 52, Mike Collins (R) 42, Other 6
Margin
Jon Ossoff +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Florida2 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 44Republican 51R +7.0
State
Florida
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Angie Nixon (D) 44, Ashley Moody (R) 51, Other 4
Margin
Ashley Moody +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Colorado2 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 57Republican 35D +22.0
State
Colorado
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
John Hickenlooper (D) 57, Mark Baisley (R) 35, Other 8
Margin
John Hickenlooper +22.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Georgia2 Nov · InsiderAdvantageDemocrat 52.7Republican 46D +6.7
State
Georgia
Pollster
InsiderAdvantagefor James Magazine Online
Fieldwork
31 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 2,500
Line-up
Jon Ossoff (D) 52.7, Mike Collins (R) 46, Other 1.3
Margin
Jon Ossoff +6.7
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tennessee2 Nov · Targoz Market ResearchDemocrat 37Republican 57R +20.0
State
Tennessee
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
24 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 716
Line-up
Marquita Bradshaw (D) 37, Bill Hagerty (R) 57, Other 6
Margin
Bill Hagerty +20.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Tennessee2 Nov · Targoz Market ResearchDemocrat 37Republican 57R +20.0
State
Tennessee
Pollster
Targoz Market Research
Fieldwork
24 Oct–2 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 716
Line-up
Marquita Bradshaw (D) 37, Bill Hagerty (R) 57, Other 6
Margin
Bill Hagerty +20.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan1 Nov · Emerson CollegeDemocrat 51.2Republican 45.2D +6.0
State
Michigan
Pollster
Emerson Collegefor Poll Vault
Fieldwork
1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 500
Line-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51.2, Mike Rogers (R) 45.2
Margin
Abdul El-Sayed +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas1 Nov · Trafalgar GroupDemocrat 47.5Republican 48.1R +0.6
State
Texas
Pollster
Trafalgar Group Partisan
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,089
Line-up
James Talarico (D) 47.5, Ken Paxton (R) 48.1, Other 2
Margin
Ken Paxton +0.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas1 Nov · Emerson CollegeDemocrat 49.8Republican 48.4D +1.4
State
Texas
Pollster
Emerson Collegefor Poll Vault
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 500
Line-up
James Talarico (D) 49.8, Ken Paxton (R) 48.4
Margin
James Talarico +1.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
Maine1 Nov · Emerson CollegeDemocrat 49.4Republican 50.6R +1.2
State
Maine
Pollster
Emerson Collegefor Poll Vault
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 600
Line-up
Troy Jackson (D) 49.4, Susan Collins (R) 50.6
Margin
Susan Collins +1.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio1 Nov · Emerson CollegeDemocrat 45.8Republican 48.3R +2.5
State
Ohio
Pollster
Emerson Collegefor Poll Vault
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 930
Line-up
Sherrod Brown (D) 45.8, Jon Husted (R) 48.3
Margin
Jon Husted +2.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan1 Nov · Trafalgar GroupDemocrat 47.1Republican 45.9D +1.2
State
Michigan
Pollster
Trafalgar Group Partisan
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,087
Line-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47.1, Mike Rogers (R) 45.9, Other 4.8
Margin
Abdul El-Sayed +1.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
South Carolina1 Nov · Trafalgar GroupDemocrat 45.5Republican 47.5R +2.0
State
South Carolina
Pollster
Trafalgar Group Partisan
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,091
Line-up
Annie Andrews (D) 45.5, Darline Graham (R) 47.5, Other 4.2
Margin
Darline Graham +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio1 Nov · Trafalgar GroupDemocrat 46.6Republican 45.1D +1.5
State
Ohio
Pollster
Trafalgar Group Partisan
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,092
Line-up
Sherrod Brown (D) 46.6, Jon Husted (R) 45.1, Other 3.5
Margin
Sherrod Brown +1.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
Alaska1 Nov · InsiderAdvantageDemocrat 50.1Republican 49.9D +0.2
State
Alaska
Pollster
InsiderAdvantage
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,200
Line-up
Mary Peltola (D) 50.1, Dan Sullivan (R) 49.9
Margin
Mary Peltola +0.2
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio1 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 45Republican 44D +1.0
State
Ohio
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Sherrod Brown (D) 45, Jon Husted (R) 44, Other 11
Margin
Sherrod Brown +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Minnesota1 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 48Republican 43D +5.0
State
Minnesota
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Peggy Flanagan (D) 48, Michele Tafoya (R) 43, Other 9
Margin
Peggy Flanagan +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan1 Nov · Research Co.Democrat 48Republican 46D +2.0
State
Michigan
Pollster
Research Co.
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 450
Line-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48, Mike Rogers (R) 46, Other 6
Margin
Abdul El-Sayed +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan1 Nov · Concord Public Opinion PartnersDemocrat 51Republican 41D +10.0
State
Michigan
Pollster
Concord Public Opinion Partners Partisanfor Education Reform Now Advocacy
Fieldwork
30 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 510
Line-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51, Mike Rogers (R) 41, Other 8
Margin
Abdul El-Sayed +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Nebraska1 Nov · GrayHouseDemocrat 46Republican 50R +4.0
State
Nebraska
Pollster
GrayHouse
Fieldwork
29 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 534
Line-up
Dan Osborn (D) 46, Pete Ricketts (R) 50
Margin
Pete Ricketts +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 52.2Republican 46.2D +6.0
State
Texas
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Adults · 1,678
Line-up
James Talarico (D) 52.2, Ken Paxton (R) 46.2, Other 1.5
Margin
James Talarico +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Alaska1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 50.1Republican 44.6D +5.5
State
Alaska
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 522
Line-up
Mary Peltola (D) 50.1, Dan Sullivan (R) 44.6, Other 2.2
Margin
Mary Peltola +5.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
Michigan1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 53.5Republican 46.4D +7.1
State
Michigan
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,316
Line-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 53.5, Mike Rogers (R) 46.4, Other 0.1
Margin
Abdul El-Sayed +7.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Kansas1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 51.9Republican 44.9D +7.0
State
Kansas
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 2,038
Line-up
Adam Hamilton (D) 51.9, Roger Marshall (R) 44.9, Other 3.3
Margin
Adam Hamilton +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Maine1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 53.1Republican 44D +9.1
State
Maine
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 967
Line-up
Troy Jackson (D) 53.1, Susan Collins (R) 44, Other 2.9
Margin
Troy Jackson +9.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
New Hampshire1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 52.3Republican 44.2D +8.1
State
New Hampshire
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,057
Line-up
Chris Pappas (D) 52.3, John Sununu (R) 44.2, Other 3.5
Margin
Chris Pappas +8.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Iowa1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 50.5Republican 46.4D +4.1
State
Iowa
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,219
Line-up
Josh Turek (D) 50.5, Ashley Hinson (R) 46.4, Other 3.2
Margin
Josh Turek +4.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Minnesota1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 48.1Republican 45.7D +2.4
State
Minnesota
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 2,133
Line-up
Peggy Flanagan (D) 48.1, Michele Tafoya (R) 45.7, Other 6.1
Margin
Peggy Flanagan +2.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
Ohio1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 51.4Republican 43.9D +7.5
State
Ohio
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,801
Line-up
Sherrod Brown (D) 51.4, Jon Husted (R) 43.9, Other 4.7
Margin
Sherrod Brown +7.5
Source
Pollster’s release →
North Carolina1 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 56.4Republican 41.5D +14.9
State
North Carolina
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,459
Line-up
Roy Cooper (D) 56.4, Michael Whatley (R) 41.5, Other 2.1
Margin
Roy Cooper +14.9
Source
Pollster’s release →
Kansas1 Nov · The New York Times/Siena UniversityDemocrat 49Republican 43.9D +5.1
State
Kansas
Pollster
The New York Times/Siena University
Fieldwork
27 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 736
Line-up
Adam Hamilton (D) 49, Roger Marshall (R) 43.9, Other 2.7
Margin
Adam Hamilton +5.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Texas1 Nov · The New York Times/Siena UniversityDemocrat 50.2Republican 43.1D +7.1
State
Texas
Pollster
The New York Times/Siena University
Fieldwork
27 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,215
Line-up
James Talarico (D) 50.2, Ken Paxton (R) 43.1, Other 6.6
Margin
James Talarico +7.1
Source
Pollster’s release →
Maine1 Nov · The New York Times/Siena UniversityDemocrat 50.9Republican 45D +5.9
State
Maine
Pollster
The New York Times/Siena University
Fieldwork
27 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 714
Line-up
Troy Jackson (D) 50.9, Susan Collins (R) 45, Other 4
Margin
Troy Jackson +5.9
Source
Pollster’s release →
Minnesota1 Nov · Survey 160Democrat 52Republican 43D +9.0
State
Minnesota
Pollster
Survey 160
Fieldwork
27 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,365
Line-up
Peggy Flanagan (D) 52, Michele Tafoya (R) 43, Other 4
Margin
Peggy Flanagan +9.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
Maine1 Nov · Survey 160Democrat 50Republican 47D +3.0
State
Maine
Pollster
Survey 160
Fieldwork
27 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 1,322
Line-up
Troy Jackson (D) 50, Susan Collins (R) 47, Other 4
Margin
Troy Jackson +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FieldworkPollsterStatePopulation and sampleLine-upMarginSource
1–2 NovKeating Research, Inc.ColoradoLikely voters400John Hickenlooper (D) 57.7Mark Baisley (R) 37.5Other 4.8John Hickenlooper +20.2Source
31 Oct–2 NovJohn Zogby StrategiesMichiganLikely voters1,001Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51Mike Rogers (R) 49Abdul El-Sayed +2.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovResearch Co.TexasLikely voters450James Talarico (D) 49Ken Paxton (R) 46Other 4James Talarico +3.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovResearch Co.New MexicoLikely voters450Ben Ray Luján (D) 56Larry Marker (R) 37Other 7Ben Ray Luján +19.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovResearch Co.IllinoisLikely voters450Juliana Stratton (D) 53Don Tracy (R) 41Other 6Juliana Stratton +12.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovResearch Co.GeorgiaLikely voters450Jon Ossoff (D) 52Mike Collins (R) 42Other 6Jon Ossoff +10.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovResearch Co.FloridaLikely voters450Angie Nixon (D) 44Ashley Moody (R) 51Other 4Ashley Moody +7.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovResearch Co.ColoradoLikely voters450John Hickenlooper (D) 57Mark Baisley (R) 35Other 8John Hickenlooper +22.0Source
31 Oct–2 NovInsiderAdvantagefor James Magazine OnlineGeorgiaLikely voters2,500Jon Ossoff (D) 52.7Mike Collins (R) 46Other 1.3Jon Ossoff +6.7Source
24 Oct–2 NovTargoz Market ResearchTennesseeLikely voters716Marquita Bradshaw (D) 37Bill Hagerty (R) 57Other 6Bill Hagerty +20.0Source
24 Oct–2 NovTargoz Market ResearchTennesseeLikely voters716Marquita Bradshaw (D) 37Bill Hagerty (R) 57Other 6Bill Hagerty +20.0Source
1 NovEmerson Collegefor Poll VaultMichiganLikely voters500Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51.2Mike Rogers (R) 45.2Abdul El-Sayed +6.0Source
31 Oct–1 NovTrafalgar Group PartisanTexasLikely voters1,089James Talarico (D) 47.5Ken Paxton (R) 48.1Other 2Ken Paxton +0.6Source
31 Oct–1 NovEmerson Collegefor Poll VaultTexasLikely voters500James Talarico (D) 49.8Ken Paxton (R) 48.4James Talarico +1.4Source
31 Oct–1 NovEmerson Collegefor Poll VaultMaineLikely voters600Troy Jackson (D) 49.4Susan Collins (R) 50.6Susan Collins +1.2Source
31 Oct–1 NovEmerson Collegefor Poll VaultOhioLikely voters930Sherrod Brown (D) 45.8Jon Husted (R) 48.3Jon Husted +2.5Source
31 Oct–1 NovTrafalgar Group PartisanMichiganLikely voters1,087Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47.1Mike Rogers (R) 45.9Other 4.8Abdul El-Sayed +1.2Source
31 Oct–1 NovTrafalgar Group PartisanSouth CarolinaLikely voters1,091Annie Andrews (D) 45.5Darline Graham (R) 47.5Other 4.2Darline Graham +2.0Source
31 Oct–1 NovTrafalgar Group PartisanOhioLikely voters1,092Sherrod Brown (D) 46.6Jon Husted (R) 45.1Other 3.5Sherrod Brown +1.5Source
31 Oct–1 NovInsiderAdvantageAlaskaLikely voters1,200Mary Peltola (D) 50.1Dan Sullivan (R) 49.9Mary Peltola +0.2Source
30 Oct–1 NovResearch Co.OhioLikely voters450Sherrod Brown (D) 45Jon Husted (R) 44Other 11Sherrod Brown +1.0Source
30 Oct–1 NovResearch Co.MinnesotaLikely voters450Peggy Flanagan (D) 48Michele Tafoya (R) 43Other 9Peggy Flanagan +5.0Source
30 Oct–1 NovResearch Co.MichiganLikely voters450Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48Mike Rogers (R) 46Other 6Abdul El-Sayed +2.0Source
30 Oct–1 NovConcord Public Opinion Partners Partisanfor Education Reform Now AdvocacyMichiganLikely voters510Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51Mike Rogers (R) 41Other 8Abdul El-Sayed +10.0Source
29 Oct–1 NovGrayHouseNebraskaLikely voters534Dan Osborn (D) 46Pete Ricketts (R) 50Pete Ricketts +4.0Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelTexasAdults1,678James Talarico (D) 52.2Ken Paxton (R) 46.2Other 1.5James Talarico +6.0Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelAlaskaLikely voters522Mary Peltola (D) 50.1Dan Sullivan (R) 44.6Other 2.2Mary Peltola +5.5Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelMichiganLikely voters1,316Abdul El-Sayed (D) 53.5Mike Rogers (R) 46.4Other 0.1Abdul El-Sayed +7.1Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelKansasLikely voters2,038Adam Hamilton (D) 51.9Roger Marshall (R) 44.9Other 3.3Adam Hamilton +7.0Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelMaineLikely voters967Troy Jackson (D) 53.1Susan Collins (R) 44Other 2.9Troy Jackson +9.1Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelNew HampshireLikely voters1,057Chris Pappas (D) 52.3John Sununu (R) 44.2Other 3.5Chris Pappas +8.1Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelIowaLikely voters1,219Josh Turek (D) 50.5Ashley Hinson (R) 46.4Other 3.2Josh Turek +4.1Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelMinnesotaLikely voters2,133Peggy Flanagan (D) 48.1Michele Tafoya (R) 45.7Other 6.1Peggy Flanagan +2.4Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelOhioLikely voters1,801Sherrod Brown (D) 51.4Jon Husted (R) 43.9Other 4.7Sherrod Brown +7.5Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelNorth CarolinaLikely voters1,459Roy Cooper (D) 56.4Michael Whatley (R) 41.5Other 2.1Roy Cooper +14.9Source
27 Oct–1 NovThe New York Times/Siena UniversityKansasLikely voters736Adam Hamilton (D) 49Roger Marshall (R) 43.9Other 2.7Adam Hamilton +5.1Source
27 Oct–1 NovThe New York Times/Siena UniversityTexasLikely voters1,215James Talarico (D) 50.2Ken Paxton (R) 43.1Other 6.6James Talarico +7.1Source
27 Oct–1 NovThe New York Times/Siena UniversityMaineLikely voters714Troy Jackson (D) 50.9Susan Collins (R) 45Other 4Troy Jackson +5.9Source
27 Oct–1 NovSurvey 160MinnesotaLikely voters1,365Peggy Flanagan (D) 52Michele Tafoya (R) 43Other 4Peggy Flanagan +9.0Source
27 Oct–1 NovSurvey 160MaineLikely voters1,322Troy Jackson (D) 50Susan Collins (R) 47Other 4Troy Jackson +3.0Source

Polls of 2026 Senate races, one row per poll. Each row is one state. Source: the New York Times polling dataset (nyt_csv). The newest poll was added to our feed on 12 November 2026.

House

40 polls listed · newest 1 Nov 2026 · 100 in the feed

MT-11 Nov · Emerson CollegeDemocrat 48.8Republican 48.5D +0.3
District
Montana, district 1
Pollster
Emerson Collegefor Poll Vault
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 311
Line-up
Sam Forstag (D) 48.8, Aaron Flint (R) 48.5
Margin
Sam Forstag +0.3
Source
Pollster’s release →
MO-21 Nov · Emerson CollegeDemocrat 49.5Republican 48.7D +0.8
District
Missouri, district 2
Pollster
Emerson Collegefor Poll Vault
Fieldwork
31 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 413
Line-up
Fred Wellman (D) 49.5, Ann Wagner (R) 48.7
Margin
Fred Wellman +0.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
AK-11 Nov · AtlasIntelDemocrat 5.9Republican 46.5R +40.6
District
Alaska, district 1
Pollster
AtlasIntel
Fieldwork
28 Oct–1 Nov
Sample
Likely voters · 522
Line-up
Eric Hafner (D) 5.9, Nick Begich (R) 46.5, Other 0.6
Margin
Nick Begich +40.6
Source
Pollster’s release →
ME-131 Oct · University of New HampshireDemocrat 65Republican 32D +33.0
District
Maine, district 1
Pollster
University of New Hampshire
Fieldwork
27–31 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 839
Line-up
Chellie Pingree (D) 65, Ronald Russell (R) 32, Other 3
Margin
Chellie Pingree +33.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
NH-131 Oct · University of New HampshireDemocrat 56Republican 43D +13.0
District
New Hampshire, district 1
Pollster
University of New Hampshire
Fieldwork
27–31 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 1,029
Line-up
Stefany Shaheen (D) 56, Anthony DiLorenzo (R) 43, Other 2
Margin
Stefany Shaheen +13.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
MI-1330 Oct · Center for Strategic PoliticsDemocrat 69Republican 19D +50.0
District
Michigan, district 13
Pollster
Center for Strategic Politics Partisanfor Democratic Socialists of America National Electoral Commission
Fieldwork
28–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 310
Line-up
Donavan McKinney (D) 69, Taras Nykoriak (R) 19, Other 10
Margin
Donavan McKinney +50.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
AK-130 Oct · The New York Times/Siena UniversityDemocrat 5.6Republican 44R +38.4
District
Alaska, district 1
Pollster
The New York Times/Siena University
Fieldwork
23–30 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 610
Line-up
Eric Hafner (D) 5.6, Nick Begich (R) 44, Other 7.8
Margin
Nick Begich +38.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
AZ-128 Oct · Keating Research, Inc.Democrat 49.4Republican 45D +4.4
District
Arizona, district 1
Pollster
Keating Research, Inc.
Fieldwork
26–28 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 500
Line-up
Amish Shah (D) 49.4, Jay Feely (R) 45, Other 5.6
Margin
Amish Shah +4.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
CA-2228 Oct · USC Democracy and Fair Elections LabDemocrat 54Republican 44D +10.0
District
California, district 22
Pollster
USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Fieldwork
22–28 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 356
Line-up
Randy Villegas (D) 54, David G. Valadao (R) 44, Other 2
Margin
Randy Villegas +10.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FL-2527 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 41D +6.0
District
Florida, district 25
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
26–27 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 523
Line-up
Jared Moskowitz (D) 47, Scott Singer (R) 41
Margin
Jared Moskowitz +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
CA-4827 Oct · USC Democracy and Fair Elections LabDemocrat 52Republican 44D +8.0
District
California, district 48
Pollster
USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Fieldwork
22–27 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 474
Line-up
Marni von Wilpert (D) 52, Jim Desmond (R) 44, Other 4
Margin
Marni von Wilpert +8.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
MN-826 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 44Republican 48R +4.0
District
Minnesota, district 8
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisan
Fieldwork
25–26 Oct
Sample
Registered voters · 585
Line-up
Democrat 44, Republican 48, Other 8
Margin
Republican +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
CA-126 Oct · USC Democracy and Fair Elections LabDemocrat 56Republican 41D +15.0
District
California, district 1
Pollster
USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Fieldwork
22–26 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 444
Line-up
Mike McGuire (D) 56, James Gallagher (R) 41, Other 2
Margin
Mike McGuire +15.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
VA-125 Oct · DCCC Targeting TeamDemocrat 48Republican 47D +1.0
District
Virginia, district 1
Pollster
DCCC Targeting Team Partisan
Fieldwork
24–25 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 478
Line-up
Shannon Taylor (D) 48, Robert Wittman (R) 47, Other 5
Margin
Shannon Taylor +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
AL-225 Oct · RemingtonDemocrat 44Republican 51R +7.0
District
Alabama, district 2
Pollster
Remington
Fieldwork
23–25 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 642
Line-up
Democrat 44, Republican 51, Other 5
Margin
Republican +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FL-2522 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 42D +5.0
District
Florida, district 25
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
21–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 592
Line-up
Jared Moskowitz (D) 47, Scott Singer (R) 42
Margin
Jared Moskowitz +5.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
ID-122 Oct · VoteNexusDemocrat 26Republican 52R +26.0
District
Idaho, district 1
Pollster
VoteNexusfor Knock Every Door PAC
Fieldwork
21–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Kaylee Peterson (D) 26, Russ Fulcher (R) 52, Other 10
Margin
Russ Fulcher +26.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
SC-122 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 45D +2.0
District
South Carolina, district 1
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
21–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 770
Line-up
Nancy Lacore (D) 47, Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 45
Margin
Nancy Lacore +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
VA-122 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 46D +1.0
District
Virginia, district 1
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
21–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 570
Line-up
Shannon Taylor (D) 47, Robert Wittman (R) 46
Margin
Shannon Taylor +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
IN-522 Oct · Quantus InsightsDemocrat 44.6Republican 47.4R +2.8
District
Indiana, district 5
Pollster
Quantus Insights
Fieldwork
21–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 634
Line-up
J.D. Ford (D) 44.6, Victoria Spartz (R) 47.4, Other 8.1
Margin
Victoria Spartz +2.8
Source
Pollster’s release →
TX-922 Oct · DCCC Targeting TeamDemocrat 47Republican 48R +1.0
District
Texas, district 9
Pollster
DCCC Targeting Team Partisan
Fieldwork
20–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 490
Line-up
Leticia Gutierrez (D) 47, Alex Mealer (R) 48
Margin
Alex Mealer +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
PA-1022 Oct · The New York Times/Siena UniversityDemocrat 47.6Republican 48R +0.4
District
Pennsylvania, district 10
Pollster
The New York Times/Siena Universityfor The Philadelphia Inquirer
Fieldwork
16–22 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 404
Line-up
Janelle Stelson (D) 47.6, Scott Perry (R) 48, Other 4.3
Margin
Scott Perry +0.4
Source
Pollster’s release →
CO-321 Oct · DCCC Targeting TeamDemocrat 47Republican 46D +1.0
District
Colorado, district 3
Pollster
DCCC Targeting Team Partisan
Fieldwork
20–21 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 402
Line-up
Dwayne Romero (D) 47, Jeff Hurd (R) 46, Other 8
Margin
Dwayne Romero +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
WA-321 Oct · Change ResearchDemocrat 45Republican 44D +1.0
District
Washington, district 3
Pollster
Change Research Partisanfor Northwest Progressive Institute
Fieldwork
19–21 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 551
Line-up
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 45, John Braun (R) 44, Other 11
Margin
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
OH-121 Oct · Quantus InsightsDemocrat 47.6Republican 43.9D +3.7
District
Ohio, district 1
Pollster
Quantus Insights
Fieldwork
19–21 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 561
Line-up
Greg Landsman (D) 47.6, Eric Conroy (R) 43.9, Other 7.8
Margin
Greg Landsman +3.7
Source
Pollster’s release →
MT-221 Oct · Montana State University BillingsDemocrat 18Republican 29R +11.0
District
Montana, district 2
Pollster
Montana State University Billings
Fieldwork
5–21 Oct
Sample
Adults · 350
Line-up
Brian Miller (D) 18, Troy Downing (R) 29, Other 31
Margin
Troy Downing +11.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
NE-120 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 45Republican 46R +1.0
District
Nebraska, district 1
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Chris Backemeyer (D) 45, Mike Flood (R) 46
Margin
Mike Flood +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
NC-920 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 42Republican 46R +4.0
District
North Carolina, district 9
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Richard Ojeda (D) 42, Richard Hudson (R) 46
Margin
Richard Hudson +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
MO-220 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 46Republican 45D +1.0
District
Missouri, district 2
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Fred Wellman (D) 46, Ann Wagner (R) 45
Margin
Fred Wellman +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
KY-620 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 41D +6.0
District
Kentucky, district 6
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Zach Dembo (D) 47, Ralph Alvarado (R) 41
Margin
Zach Dembo +6.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
NH-120 Oct · St. AnselmDemocrat 46Republican 42D +4.0
District
New Hampshire, district 1
Pollster
St. Anselm
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 861
Line-up
Stefany Shaheen (D) 46, Anthony DiLorenzo (R) 42, Other 12
Margin
Stefany Shaheen +4.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
CO-520 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 47Level
District
Colorado, district 5
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 577
Line-up
Jessica Killin (D) 47, Jeff Crank (R) 47
Margin
Level
Source
Pollster’s release →
KS-220 Oct · DCCC Targeting TeamDemocrat 46Republican 49R +3.0
District
Kansas, district 2
Pollster
DCCC Targeting Team Partisan
Fieldwork
19–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 639
Line-up
Don Coover (D) 46, Derek Schmidt (R) 49, Other 6
Margin
Derek Schmidt +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
CA-4820 Oct · Tarrance GroupDemocrat 47Republican 44D +3.0
District
California, district 48
Pollster
Tarrance Group Partisan
Fieldwork
17–20 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 410
Line-up
Marni von Wilpert (D) 47, Jim Desmond (R) 44
Margin
Marni von Wilpert +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FL-719 Oct · DCCC Targeting TeamDemocrat 44Republican 47R +3.0
District
Florida, district 7
Pollster
DCCC Targeting Team Partisan
Fieldwork
17–19 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 414
Line-up
Democrat 44, Republican 47
Margin
Republican +3.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
TX-3419 Oct · The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentDemocrat 50Republican 43D +7.0
District
Texas, district 34
Pollster
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government
Fieldwork
14–19 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 626
Line-up
Vicente Gonzalez (D) 50, Eric Flores (R) 43, Other 5
Margin
Vicente Gonzalez +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
CO-518 Oct · Global Strategy GroupDemocrat 46Republican 44D +2.0
District
Colorado, district 5
Pollster
Global Strategy Group Partisan
Fieldwork
14–18 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 500
Line-up
Jessica Killin (D) 46, Jeff Crank (R) 44, Other 10
Margin
Jessica Killin +2.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
TX-1516 Oct · Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterDemocrat 51Republican 44D +7.0
District
Texas, district 15
Pollster
Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Centerfor San Antonio Express-News
Fieldwork
13–16 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Bobby Pulido (D) 51, Monica De La Cruz (R) 44, Other 5
Margin
Bobby Pulido +7.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
AK-116 Oct · Data for ProgressDemocrat 5Republican 48R +43.0
District
Alaska, district 1
Pollster
Data for Progress
Fieldwork
8–16 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · 694
Line-up
Eric Hafner (D) 5, Nick Begich (R) 48, Other 4
Margin
Nick Begich +43.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FL-1315 Oct · Public Policy PollingDemocrat 47Republican 46D +1.0
District
Florida, district 13
Pollster
Public Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PAC
Fieldwork
14–15 Oct
Sample
Likely voters · sample not stated
Line-up
Leela Gray (D) 47, Anna Paulina Luna (R) 46
Margin
Leela Gray +1.0
Source
Pollster’s release →
FieldworkPollsterDistrictPopulation and sampleLine-upMarginSource
31 Oct–1 NovEmerson Collegefor Poll VaultMontana, district 1Likely voters311Sam Forstag (D) 48.8Aaron Flint (R) 48.5Sam Forstag +0.3Source
31 Oct–1 NovEmerson Collegefor Poll VaultMissouri, district 2Likely voters413Fred Wellman (D) 49.5Ann Wagner (R) 48.7Fred Wellman +0.8Source
28 Oct–1 NovAtlasIntelAlaska, district 1Likely voters522Eric Hafner (D) 5.9Nick Begich (R) 46.5Other 0.6Nick Begich +40.6Source
27–31 OctUniversity of New HampshireMaine, district 1Likely voters839Chellie Pingree (D) 65Ronald Russell (R) 32Other 3Chellie Pingree +33.0Source
27–31 OctUniversity of New HampshireNew Hampshire, district 1Likely voters1,029Stefany Shaheen (D) 56Anthony DiLorenzo (R) 43Other 2Stefany Shaheen +13.0Source
28–30 OctCenter for Strategic Politics Partisanfor Democratic Socialists of America National Electoral CommissionMichigan, district 13Likely voters310Donavan McKinney (D) 69Taras Nykoriak (R) 19Other 10Donavan McKinney +50.0Source
23–30 OctThe New York Times/Siena UniversityAlaska, district 1Likely voters610Eric Hafner (D) 5.6Nick Begich (R) 44Other 7.8Nick Begich +38.4Source
26–28 OctKeating Research, Inc.Arizona, district 1Likely voters500Amish Shah (D) 49.4Jay Feely (R) 45Other 5.6Amish Shah +4.4Source
22–28 OctUSC Democracy and Fair Elections LabCalifornia, district 22Likely voters356Randy Villegas (D) 54David G. Valadao (R) 44Other 2Randy Villegas +10.0Source
26–27 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACFlorida, district 25Likely voters523Jared Moskowitz (D) 47Scott Singer (R) 41Jared Moskowitz +6.0Source
22–27 OctUSC Democracy and Fair Elections LabCalifornia, district 48Likely voters474Marni von Wilpert (D) 52Jim Desmond (R) 44Other 4Marni von Wilpert +8.0Source
25–26 OctPublic Policy Polling PartisanMinnesota, district 8Registered voters585Democrat 44Republican 48Other 8Republican +4.0Source
22–26 OctUSC Democracy and Fair Elections LabCalifornia, district 1Likely voters444Mike McGuire (D) 56James Gallagher (R) 41Other 2Mike McGuire +15.0Source
24–25 OctDCCC Targeting Team PartisanVirginia, district 1Likely voters478Shannon Taylor (D) 48Robert Wittman (R) 47Other 5Shannon Taylor +1.0Source
23–25 OctRemingtonAlabama, district 2Likely voters642Democrat 44Republican 51Other 5Republican +7.0Source
21–22 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACFlorida, district 25Likely voters592Jared Moskowitz (D) 47Scott Singer (R) 42Jared Moskowitz +5.0Source
21–22 OctVoteNexusfor Knock Every Door PACIdaho, district 1Likely voterssample not statedKaylee Peterson (D) 26Russ Fulcher (R) 52Other 10Russ Fulcher +26.0Source
21–22 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACSouth Carolina, district 1Likely voters770Nancy Lacore (D) 47Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 45Nancy Lacore +2.0Source
21–22 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACVirginia, district 1Likely voters570Shannon Taylor (D) 47Robert Wittman (R) 46Shannon Taylor +1.0Source
21–22 OctQuantus InsightsIndiana, district 5Likely voters634J.D. Ford (D) 44.6Victoria Spartz (R) 47.4Other 8.1Victoria Spartz +2.8Source
20–22 OctDCCC Targeting Team PartisanTexas, district 9Likely voters490Leticia Gutierrez (D) 47Alex Mealer (R) 48Alex Mealer +1.0Source
16–22 OctThe New York Times/Siena Universityfor The Philadelphia InquirerPennsylvania, district 10Likely voters404Janelle Stelson (D) 47.6Scott Perry (R) 48Other 4.3Scott Perry +0.4Source
20–21 OctDCCC Targeting Team PartisanColorado, district 3Likely voters402Dwayne Romero (D) 47Jeff Hurd (R) 46Other 8Dwayne Romero +1.0Source
19–21 OctChange Research Partisanfor Northwest Progressive InstituteWashington, district 3Likely voters551Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) 45John Braun (R) 44Other 11Marie Gluesenkamp Perez +1.0Source
19–21 OctQuantus InsightsOhio, district 1Likely voters561Greg Landsman (D) 47.6Eric Conroy (R) 43.9Other 7.8Greg Landsman +3.7Source
5–21 OctMontana State University BillingsMontana, district 2Adults350Brian Miller (D) 18Troy Downing (R) 29Other 31Troy Downing +11.0Source
19–20 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACNebraska, district 1Likely voterssample not statedChris Backemeyer (D) 45Mike Flood (R) 46Mike Flood +1.0Source
19–20 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACNorth Carolina, district 9Likely voterssample not statedRichard Ojeda (D) 42Richard Hudson (R) 46Richard Hudson +4.0Source
19–20 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACMissouri, district 2Likely voterssample not statedFred Wellman (D) 46Ann Wagner (R) 45Fred Wellman +1.0Source
19–20 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACKentucky, district 6Likely voterssample not statedZach Dembo (D) 47Ralph Alvarado (R) 41Zach Dembo +6.0Source
19–20 OctSt. AnselmNew Hampshire, district 1Likely voters861Stefany Shaheen (D) 46Anthony DiLorenzo (R) 42Other 12Stefany Shaheen +4.0Source
19–20 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACColorado, district 5Likely voters577Jessica Killin (D) 47Jeff Crank (R) 47LevelSource
19–20 OctDCCC Targeting Team PartisanKansas, district 2Likely voters639Don Coover (D) 46Derek Schmidt (R) 49Other 6Derek Schmidt +3.0Source
17–20 OctTarrance Group PartisanCalifornia, district 48Likely voters410Marni von Wilpert (D) 47Jim Desmond (R) 44Marni von Wilpert +3.0Source
17–19 OctDCCC Targeting Team PartisanFlorida, district 7Likely voters414Democrat 44Republican 47Republican +3.0Source
14–19 OctThe Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentTexas, district 34Likely voters626Vicente Gonzalez (D) 50Eric Flores (R) 43Other 5Vicente Gonzalez +7.0Source
14–18 OctGlobal Strategy Group PartisanColorado, district 5Likely voters500Jessica Killin (D) 46Jeff Crank (R) 44Other 10Jessica Killin +2.0Source
13–16 OctBarbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Centerfor San Antonio Express-NewsTexas, district 15Likely voterssample not statedBobby Pulido (D) 51Monica De La Cruz (R) 44Other 5Bobby Pulido +7.0Source
8–16 OctData for ProgressAlaska, district 1Likely voters694Eric Hafner (D) 5Nick Begich (R) 48Other 4Nick Begich +43.0Source
14–15 OctPublic Policy Polling Partisanfor House Majority PACFlorida, district 13Likely voterssample not statedLeela Gray (D) 47Anna Paulina Luna (R) 46Leela Gray +1.0Source

Polls of 2026 House districts, one row per poll. Source: the New York Times polling dataset (nyt_csv). The newest poll was added to our feed on 12 November 2026.

3 polls finished fieldwork in the last 7 days across Senate, House, the generic ballot, presidential approval and the 2028 race.

About this list

This is a list of the polls in our feeds, not every poll published. Race polls and the generic ballot come from the New York Times polling dataset; 2028 polls come from the New York Times polling database; approval polls come from the approval tracker's own poll list, which draws on the New York Times file of approval polls (see the approval methodology). Each poll is listed on its own, with its line-up and a link to the release; nothing here is averaged. A poll tagged Partisan was released for a party, a campaign or a partisan group, as the feed marks it. A poll appears when a feed has it, so a poll can be published before it is listed here.

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